Match Analysis: Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Manchester City

On April 25th, 2024, we anticipate a thrilling Premier League faceoff between Brighton & Hove Albion and Manchester City. The historical data reveals that the last encounter between the two ended in Manchester City’s favor with a 0-2 victory. The long-term stats show that out of their 14 encounters, Brighton & Hove Albion only claimed victory once whereas Manchester City emerged as the victor 12 times. One game concluded in a draw. Brighton & Hove Albion have been showing good form on their home ground, but Manchester City has been exceptional away. The average goals scored during these clashes have been about 3.29 per game with both teams scoring (BTTS) in half of the matches. This Premier League season has had Brighton & Hove Albion averaging 1.8 Points Per Game at home matches while Manchester City’s away game average has been slightly higher at 2.13 Points Per Game. Based on these data, the match could promise high intensity and competition.

Insights

• Historically, Manchester City has a strongly dominant head-to-head record against Brighton & Hove Albion, with 12 wins out of 14 previous meetings.
• The last encounter ended in favor of Manchester City, with a 2-0 win over Brighton & Hove Albion.
• Brighton & Hove Albion’s home performance has been strong, however, Manchester City has showcased excellent form in away games.
• Brighton & Hove Albion has managed only one victory in the prior meetings, making Manchester City a clear favorite based on past encounters.
• On average, games between these two teams have seen a high scoring rate with an average of 3.29 goals per match.
• Despite the historical disparity, there is a fair chance for both teams to score, as this has happened in 50% of their encounters.
• Brighton & Hove Albion has averaged 1.8 points per game in home matches so far this season, exhibiting a solid home performance.
• With an average of 2.13 points per game in away matches, Manchester City tends to perform very well even outside their home ground.
• Thus, while Brighton & Hove Albion has a decent home record, Manchester City’s superior away form and past record makes them the likely favorites.
• However, football can be unpredictable, and any outcome is possible, particularly considering the 50% BTTS rate.

Match Forecast

• Expect numerous long shot attempts from both sides given their strong competency in this area. Manchester City particularly could pose a serious threat with their added capacity of creating chances through individual skills.
• Despite Brighton’s strength in defending set pieces, they may grapple with Manchester City’s attack from set pieces, due to City’s strong performance in this area.
• Brighton’s ability to protect the lead may be put to test considering Manchester City’s strong finish scoring chances.
• Brighton might struggle to stop Manchester City from creating opportunities due to their weak defense against such situations.
• Manchester City, being weak at aerial duels, might find it difficult to deal with Brighton’s attacking strategies if they decide to approach from the flanks, incorporating crosses.
• Both teams’ weakness in defending counter attacks could lead to a game with a lot of back and forth action.
• Manchester City’s notable drawback in aerial duels could be less impactful in this clash as Brighton’s tactical approach focuses mostly on short passes and ground play.
• Overall, much of Brighton’s weaknesses can be exploited by Manchester City’s strengths and playstyle. However, City’s weakness in aerial duels and counter attacks could see Brighton finding opportunities to exploit.
• Both teams’ style of rotation in their first eleven might lead to unexpected match-ups and keep both sides on their toes.
• The most notable clash could be Brighton’s intent to play aggressive against City’s more non-aggressive style, potentially causing an intense game.

Match Facts

In Brighton & Hove Albion’s home stadium, they’ve been successful once in their past 7 games against Manchester City, with 2 draws and 4 losses. Manchester City flaunted a superior goal differential of 19-7.
In their prior 15 encounters, Brighton & Hove Albion achieved a solitary win, along with 2 draws while succumbing to Manchester City 12 times with the goal score being 38-10 favouring Manchester City.
The earlier season witnessed a deadlock of 1-1 when Brighton & Hove Albion played as hosts, while a 3-1 defeat when Manchester City hosted the match.
Manchester City exhibits a trio of consecutive victories in the Premier League.
An interesting fact to note is that Brighton & Hove Albion and Manchester City score 27% and 24% of their goals respectively, within the 76-90 minute window.
Brighton & Hove Albion experienced a winless streak in their last four fixtures.
Manchester City displays an impressive track record of being undefeated in their last 12 games on the road.
Brighton & Hove Albion failed in scoring in two of their fifteen home games, while Manchester City on the other hand couldn’t net a goal in just two of their fifteen away games this Premier League season.
Joao Pedro has been the star player for Brighton & Hove Albion scoring 8 goals; meanwhile, Erling Haaland of Manchester City has netted an impressive 20 goals.
Pascal Gross of Brighton & Hove Albion has been remarkable with 10 assists, while Julian Alvarez of Manchester City follows close behind with 9.
Facundo Buonanotte leads in yellow cards with seven for Brighton & Hove Albion, while Rodri of Manchester City has eight to his name.
Manchester City has the misfortune of conceding goals in their last five matches, despite scoring in six consecutive matches.
In the first halves of their games, Brighton & Hove Albion has a win rate of 32%, while Manchester City leads with a superior 49% win rate.
The last match ended with Manchester City as victors, pulling ahead by a single goal.
A 1-0 lead at home ensures a 73% win for Brighton & Hove Albion, while Manchester City secures a 78% win from a 0-1 lead in an away game.
In home games, Brighton & Hove Albion only turn the game around in 20% of matches when down 0-1. On the other hand, when trailing 1-0 in away games, Manchester City recovers to a victorious outcome 50% of the time.
Manchester City consistently outperforms Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League.
Manchester City has proven to be in better form than Brighton & Hove Albion in the recent five matches.
Brighton & Hove Albion couldn’t record a single victory in their last five encounters with Manchester City in all competitions.
The average goals per match are 0.8 for Brighton & Hove Albion and a much higher 2.6 for Manchester City when facing each other.
The average number of goals when Brighton & Hove Albion and Manchester City face-off is 3.4, with 1.8 averaged in the first half.
When playing home, Brighton & Hove Albion score an average of 1.85 goals, while Manchester City boasts an average of 2.32 when playing away.