Preview & Prediction: Cruzeiro EC vs SC Corinthians Paulista

Given the recent performance statistics, an expected head-to-head clash between Cruzeiro EC and SC Corinthians Paulista is in the offing. Cruzeiro has had a cold streak in their last five matches, managing only 3 points with a pathetic goal tally of 3. Goals have been a rare sight for them, with Both Teams to Score (BTTS) only landing once in the five games. With no wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, things seem bleak for the team. Their inability to net goals in 4 of the last five games, and firing blanks in 47% of their games this season is a definite red flag. Improving their attacking strategy will be crucial in this game.

On the other side, Corinthians are in a comfortable rhythm with an impressive score of 11 points from their last 5 games, scoring a total of 9 goals. Riding on a 5-game unbeaten streak with 3 wins and 2 draws, the team seems a formidable opponent for the flailing Cruzeiro. The fact that 3 of their last games have seen BTTS, makes them a likely candidate to score in the upcoming match.

The historical bind of Cruzeiro and Corinthians is set to play out again on the 7th July, 2024. In the 20 games they have faced off, Cruzeiro took the lead with 7 wins as opposed to Corinthians’ 8 with 5 matches ending in a draw. Despite Cruzeiro being strong at home and Corinthians consistently underperforming away, the average of 2.05 goals per game suggest this encounter may not be a high-scoring one. Interestingly, a BTTS happened 45% of the time.

Based on the current season’s performance in the Serie A, Cruzeiro has shown strong home form averaging 3 points per game at home matches, while Corinthians managed an average of 0.29 points per game at away matches.

So, to wrap up, the battle between Cruzeiro and Corinthians is likely to lean towards the latter given Cruzeiro’s recent poor form. However, the beauty of football lies in its unpredictability and the tables might turn on the day of the match.

Insights

• Cruzeiro’s average point in recent 5 games is 0.6, which indicates an underwhelming performance.
• Cruzeiro has scored only 3 goals in the last 5 games, showing a lack of effectiveness in their attack.
• There has been a lack of goal-scoring action in Cruzeiro’s games with BTTS (Both Teams To Score) landing only once in their last 5 games, suggesting low-scoring games.
• Cruzeiro’s inability to find the back of the net in 47% of games raises questions concerning their attacking quality and strategy.
• Corinthians, on the other hand, have accumulated 2.2 points on average in their last 5 games, showing good form.
• With 9 goals in the last 5 games, Corinthians’ attacking prowess is evident.
• In the last 5 games featuring Corinthians, they have remained unbeaten and scored an impressive 9 goals, indicating solid form and momentum.
• The last 3 games involving Corinthians have seen more than 3 goals, suggesting high-scoring fixtures.
• The previous match between Cruzeiro and Corinthians ended in a 1-1 draw, hinting at the possibility of a closely-fought affair.
• Historically, their 20 encounters have seen Cruzeiro winning 7 times, Corinthians winning 8 times, and the rest 5 games ending in a draw.
• Despite Cruzeiro’s impressive home form and Corinthians’ under-par performance away from home, the match could be competitive.
• The average goals per game between the two sides is 2.05, suggesting at least 2 goals in the upcoming match.
• Given that BTTS has happened in 45% of their previous games, there is a moderate chance for both teams to score in this match.
• So far, Cruzeiro has averaged 3 points per game at home in Serie A while Corinthians has managed only 0.29 points per game away, favoring Cruzeiro’s chances in this home game.

Match Forecast

• Cruzeiro EC, being adept at creating chances using through balls and individual skills, will likely take advantage of Corinthians’ weakness in defending against skillful players and attacks down the wings. Look for Cruzeiro to make frequent and successful penetrations into Corinthians defensive third.
• Given Corinthians’ weakness at defending against long shots, Cruzeiro may exert pressure through long-range attempts, especially when regular shots are not being effectively converted due to their own weakness in finishing scoring chances.
• Cruzeiro’s strength in shooting from direct free kicks may lead to goals, as Corinthians often commits fouls in dangerous areas.
• Corinthians’ strengths lie in shooting from direct free kicks and creating long shot opportunities. Therefore, despite Cruzeiro’s strong defence, Corinthians may still score from set pieces or long shots.
• Corinthians’ play style of non-aggression and playing in their own half might give Cruzeiro the chance to control the game and use their long ball tactic effectively.
• Both teams prefer to play with width and attack down the left, potentially turning the left flank into a high-action zone during the match.
• With Cruzeiro used to playing under pressure from aggressive opponents, Corinthians’ non-aggressive stance may be less disruptive for Cruzeiro’s possession football style.

Match Facts

• A 0-1 outcome has been the most frequent result when Cruzeiro EC MG and SC Corinthians SP face each other, with this result seen in 9 matches.
• Out of the last 18 home matches Cruzeiro EC MG had with SC Corinthians SP, they emerged winners 9 times, obtained draw 3 times, and lost 6 times. The net goals favored Cruzeiro EC MG with a score tally of 20-16.
• During their last 37 encounters, Cruzeiro EC MG has won 15 times, had a draw 5 times, and lost to SC Corinthians SP 17 times, with Corinthians having a net goal difference of 39-36.
• SC Corinthians SP claimed their last away victory against Cruzeiro EC MG back in 2015.
• The scores for the previous season were a 1-1 draw with Cruzeiro EC MG at home and a 2-1 win for SC Corinthians SP at their home.
• Cruzeiro EC MG has a streak of 5 consecutive home wins in Brasileiro Serie A.
• Cruzeiro EC MG is known to score 31% of their goals between the 76-90 minute marks – the league’s highest percentage.
• Cruzeiro EC MG has an impressive record, having won 7 consecutive home matches.
• Cruzeiro EC MG has shown resilience in their last 8 home matches, losing none.
• SC Corinthians SP’s form has been lacking, with no victories in their last 6 games.
• In their last 7 face-offs at Cruzeiro EC MG’s home ground, SC Corinthians SP have been unable to secure a win.
• In the current Brasileiro Serie A season, Cruzeiro EC MG has a clean record of scoring in all 5 home matches, whereas SC Corinthians SP has failed to score in 3 out of their 5 away matches.
• Cruzeiro EC MG’s home season’s record shows 5 victories and no losses. In contrast, SC Corinthians SP’s away record shows 0 victories, 2 draws, and 4 losses.
• Among the players, Matheus Pereira of Cruzeiro EC MG and Rodrigo Garro of SC Corinthians SP have received the most yellow cards (4 each).
• SC Corinthians SP has a defensive concern, having conceded goals in their last 6 consecutive matches.
• When breaking down the matches, Cruzeiro EC MG wins the 1st half in 30% of matches and SC Corinthians SP wins the 1st half in 26% of their matches.
• Their last clash saw both teams sharing a point with a 1-1 draw.
• When Cruzeiro EC MG holds a 1-0 lead at home, they secure a win 71% of the time, whilst SC Corinthians SP win 66% of their matches when leading 0-1 away.
• On the flip side, both Cruzeiro EC MG and SC Corinthians SP only manage to overturn a 1-0 deficit 11% of the time at home and away respectively.
• Comparing performances in Brasileiro Serie A, Cruzeiro EC MG has the upper hand over SC Corinthians SP.
• Cruzeiro EC MG has a superior performance over the last 5 matches compared to SC Corinthians SP.
• In all competitions, Cruzeiro EC MG only lost 1 of their last 5 games to SC Corinthians SP.
• Out of their last 5 meetings, Cruzeiro EC MG came out on top twice, SC Corinthians SP once, and 2 matches concluded in a draw.
• Cruzeiro EC MG has only fallen to SC Corinthians SP once in their last 5 Brasileiro Serie A games.
• SC Corinthians SP on the other hand, has only triumphed over Cruzeiro EC MG once in their last five Brasileiro Serie A games.
• In head to head encounters, Cruzeiro EC MG averages 1 goal per match against SC Corinthians SP, who averages 0.8 goals against Cruzeiro EC MG.
• Average total goals in matches involving Cruzeiro EC MG and SC Corinthians SP are 1.8.
• The first half of games between Cruzeiro EC MG and SC Corinthians SP averages 0.8 goals.
• While playing at home, Cruzeiro EC MG tends to score 1.42 goals on average, and SC Corinthians SP averages 1.14 goals when playing away.
• Both teams were unable to secure a win in their last Brasileiro Serie A match.