Preview & Prediction: Burnley FC vs Newcastle United FC

Burnley FC square off against Newcastle United FC in the Premier League on the 4th of May, 2024. Their previous encounter saw a tie with a scoreline of Burnley 1 – 1 Newcastle United. These clubs have faced each other 14 times in recent seasons. Analyzing previous games, Burnley have secured 2 victories, with Newcastle United outperforming them with 7 wins, and 5 games concluding in a stalemate. Currently, Burnley’s home game performance is noticeably weak, similarly, Newcastle United’s away form is subpar. Historically, Burnley vs Newcastle United games have seen an average of 2.14 goals, with the BTTS statistic standing at 50%. This Premier League season, Burnley are averaging 0.59 Points Per Game in home matches, while Newcastle United are managing 0.88 Points Per Game in their away matches.

Insights

• Burnley FC and Newcastle United FC have an equal history of draws with 5 matches ending this way out of the 14 they’ve played against each other.
• Newcastle United FC has shown a clear advantage in this matchup, having won 7 out of 14 previous meetings.
• In contrast, Burnley FC has only claimed victory in 2 out of 14 matches with Newcastle United FC.
• The last meeting between Burnley FC and Newcastle United FC ended in a draw, resulting in a score of 1-1.
• Despite their past wins, Newcastle United FC has been struggling with their away matches, indicating a possible disadvantage this time around.
• Burnley FC, too, is dealing with a very poor home form this season, which might affect their performance in the game.
• Games between Burnley FC and Newcastle United FC are moderately high-scoring, averaging a total of 2.14 goals per match.
• 50% of past matches have seen both teams scoring goals (BTTS).
• So far, in this Premier League season, Burnley FC has averaged fewer points per game (0.59 PPG) at home matches than Newcastle United FC has at away matches (0.88 PPG). These statistics can give a hint about Newcastle’s slight upper hand in this match-up.

Match Forecast

• Newcastle United FC is likely to exploit their strength in finishing scoring chances against Burnley FC’s key weakness in defending against long shots and set pieces.
• Given Burnley FC’s consistent style of playing in their own half and playing the offside trap, Newcastle United’s strength in counter-attacks and creating chances using through balls might be particularly effective.
• Newcastle United FC could struggle with defending against Burnley FC’s preferred style of attacking through the left and using long balls as they have shown weakness in defending counter-attacks.
• Newcastle United FC’s consistent first eleven may have an advantage in cohesiveness against Burnley FC’s consistent first eleven.
• Newcastle’s strategy of attacking through the middle might be compromised due to Burnley FC’s tendency to take long shots and focus on defending their half.
• Burnley FC, having a weakness in aerial duels, might struggle to cope with Newcastle United FC’s strong defending of set pieces.
• Given both team’s weakness in defending against skillful players, individual talents might shine in this match and could create turning points.
• Burnley FC’s consistent struggle with avoiding individual errors could provide more opportunities for Newcastle United FC to score.

Match Facts

When Burnley FC hosts Newcastle United, the most frequently repeated scoreline is 1-2. They’ve seen this outcome in 3 games., Often, games involving Burnley FC and Newcastle United end 1-2. We’ve recorded this result in 3 occasions., In their recent 6 encounters at Burnley FC’s ground, Burnley FC came out on top twice, with 1 game ending in a draw, while Newcastle clinched victory 3 times. The goals scored overall were 7 for Newcastle United and 6 for Burnley., In their 14 most recent meetings, Burnley FC were victors in 2 matches, there were 5 stalemates and Newcastle United won 7 times. Newcastle United lead in terms of goal difference with a score of 19-11., Surprisingly, Burnley FC net 24% of their goals in the time span of 31-45 minutes. This is the highest in the league., Interestingly, Burnley FC score 5% of their goals in the 16-30 minute interval. This is the lowest ratio in the league., Remarkably, Newcastle United net 24% of their goals late in the game, between minute 76-90., In their last 3 bouts, Burnley FC failed to register a win against Newcastle United., Burnley FC have been shown 7 red cards this season – the most in the Premier League., This Premier League season, Burnley FC have failed to score in 7 of their 17 home games., Newcastle United did not score in 5 of their 16 away games in this season’s Premier League., This season at home, Burnley FC’s record stands at 2-4-11., Burnley FC’s leader is assists is Dara O’Shea with 4 while Kieran Trippier has assisted the most for Newcastle United with 10., In their last 18 games, Burnley FC was unable to prevent the opposition from scoring., Burnley FC win the first half in 25% of their games, while Newcastle United do so in 37% of their fixtures., In terms of halftime victories, Burnley FC comes out on top 25% of the time, whereas Newcastle United wins 37%., The previous encounter between the two teams was won by Newcastle United., In the prior match, Newcastle United emerged victorious with a lead of 2 goals., With a 1-0 lead at home, Burnley FC win in 33% of matches., Away from home, Newcastle United win 69% of their games when they lead by 1-0., If Burnley FC are trailing 0-1 at their turf, they fail to bounce back., Newcastle United manage only an 11% winning rate when down 1-0 away., Newcastle United’s Premier League performance exceeds that of Burnley FC., Over the last 5 recent matches, Newcastle United have performed better than Burnley FC., Newcastle United have lost just a single time in their last 5 showdowns with Burnley FC across all competitions., In their last 5 encounters, Burnley FC have 1 win, Newcastle United have 4 and there were 0 draws., There have been no losses for Newcastle United in their last 5 Premier League clashes against Burnley FC., Burnley FC have not emerged victorious in any of their last 5 Premier League clashes against Newcastle United., On average, Burnley FC scores 0.4 goals per match against Newcastle United, and Newcastle United manage 1.4 goals against Burnley., The average sum of goals per match between Burnley FC and Newcastle United is 1.8., Matches between Burnley FC and Newcastle United usually see an average of 0.8 goals scored in the first half., On average, Burnley FC score 1.11 goals per home game, while Newcastle United average 1.55 goals per away match.