Match Pack: Toronto FC versus FC Cincinnati

According to recent team statistics for Toronto FC, they’ve gathered a meagre 3 points from their last 5 matches, averaging 0.6 points per game. Their “Both Teams to Score” (BTTS) has occurred in a scant 2 out of 5 games. With a total of 4 goals across these last five fixtures, Toronto FC’s ability to score will be put to the test against FC Cincinnati’s defense. Recently, their home record has shown scoring in their last 3 matches. However, they’ve been goalless in 5 of their home games this season. They’ve been unable to score in 3 out of their last five games, and have found the net in just half of their matches throughout the season. This lack of attacking prowess underscores a need for tactical changes or possibly new additions to their forward line.

As for FC Cincinnati, their recent record is significantly better, with 8 points accrued from their last 5 matches – an average of 1.6 points per match. Their BTTS has occurred in 3 out of 5 games, with their total goal tally at 8. This attacking form, combined with the fact that they’ve been unbeaten in their last 3 away games, puts them in good stead for their meeting with Toronto. Their current unbeaten run of 3 games and a single loss in their last 5 games highlights a positive momentum, which they’ll look to exploit against Toronto.

Looking at the historical data, the last direct confrontation occurred on May 26th, 2024, which ended in Toronto’s favour, Toronto 2 – 1 FC Cincinnati. Taking into consideration 11 previous encounters, Toronto triumphed in 4 while FC Cincinnati claimed victory in 6, with a singular draw game. Despite Toronto’s impressive record at home, FC Cincinnati’s away form remains exceptional, hinting at an evenly matched face-off.

As far as averages go, clashes between Toronto FC and FC Cincinnati typically feature around 2.91 goals and present a BTTS statistic of 45%. In the running MLS season, Toronto’s home game average stands at 2.14 points versus Cincinnati’s away average of 2.29 points, hinting at a potential upper hand for Cincinnati.

The Toronto vs FC Cincinnati match is poised to be a captivating contest, with both teams seeking to assert their superiority while making strides in the MLS.

Insights

• Recent performances show FC Cincinnati in better form with 8 points from their last 5 games compared to Toronto’s 3 points.
• FC Cincinnati has scored double the goals (8) of Toronto FC (4) in the last 5 fixtures.
• Both teams have seen BTTS land in over half their recent fixtures, with FC Cincinnati at 60% and Toronto at 40% in their last 5 games.
• FC Cincinnati is on a good run, being unbeaten in their last 3 away games.
• Toronto FC has faced difficulty scoring recently, with no goals in their last 2 matches and 15 games this season where they couldn’t find the net.
• The last match between these two ended in favor of Toronto a 2-1 victory.
• Historically, FC Cincinnati has won more matches against Toronto, with 6 wins out of 11 compared to Toronto’s 4 wins.
• Toronto has a strong home form, and FC Cincinnati an excellent away form.
• Matches between these two teams have seen an average of 2.91 goals scored, with BTTS landing 45% of the time.
• FC Cincinnati is performing slightly better this season, averaging 2.29 Points Per Game at away matches, versus Toronto’s 2.14 Points Per Game at home matches.

Match Forecast

• The game is expected to be highly competitive due to the strong ability of both teams to steal the ball from the opposition.
• We can anticipate a significant number of individual skill displays as both teams have this as a strength.
• Since both teams are proficient in aerial duels, we can expect a lot of action in the air, particularly during set pieces.
• FC Cincinnati might exploit Toronto FC’s weaknesses by trying to draw fouls in dangerous areas given Toronto FC’s tendency to foul.
• Cincinnati may exploit Toronto FC’s weak defense against set pieces by focusing on creating chances from direct free kicks.
• The battle might be won or lost on the wings as Toronto FC prefers attacking down the right and FC Cincinnati down the left.
• There might be a number of offside calls since both teams struggle with avoiding offside.
• Toronto FC will likely spend more time defending, given their play style of playing in their own half.
• We can expect Cincinnati to attempt many through balls, seeing as it is one of their strengths and frequently incorporated in their play.
• Given FC Cincinnati’s weakness against long shots and their own tendency to take long shots, Toronto FC may try to capitalize on this by attempting more long range efforts.
• The game is likely to be notably aggressive since it is a characteristic play style of both teams.

Match Facts

• Most commonly, Toronto FC games against FC Cincinnati have ended with a score of 0-2, happening three times in their history.
• Out of the last nine encounters, four have been won by Toronto FC and five by FC Cincinnati with no draws. Overall, FC Cincinnati has a lead in goal difference with 15-12.
• In the previous season, FC Cincinnati achieved victories in both of their matches with Toronto FC, 2-0 at home and 2-1 away.
• Toronto FC, interestingly, score around 25% of their goals in the minutes between 46-60.
• Similarly, FC Cincinnati scores about 24% of their goals in the 46-60 minute time range.
• Toronto FC has been unable to secure a win over FC Cincinnati in their last three attempts.
• In the current MLS season, five out of fifteen home matches have seen Toronto FC not scoring.
• FC Cincinnati didn’t score in three out of fifteen away matches in this MLS season.
• The current home record for Toronto FC stands at 4 wins, 6 losses, and 5 draws.
• FC Cincinnati’s away record is slightly better with 5 wins, 7 losses, and 3 draws.
• Over their last 16 fixtures, Toronto FC have conceded at least one goal.
• In the 1st half, Toronto FC succeeds in 10% of their matches, while FC Cincinnati do so in 28% of their encounters.
• During the halftime break, Toronto FC leads in just 10% of these instances, whereas FC Cincinnati has the upper hand 28% of the time.
• The previous match between these two saw FC Cincinnati coming out on top.
• The last encounter was dominated by FC Cincinnati, winning by a three-goal margin.
• When Toronto FC gets the upper hand at home with a 1-0 lead, they manage to win 50% of the time.
• Impressively, when FC Cincinnati is leading 0-1 away, they consolidate on 62% of such occurrences.
• When trailing 0-1 at home, Toronto FC haven’t been able to overturn the situation.
• Even though they’re down by one goal, FC Cincinnati still manages to triumph in 30% of such away games.
• In the MLS, FC Cincinnati has shown better performance compared to Toronto FC.
• FC Cincinnati’s recent five-match performance surpasses that of Toronto FC.
• FC Cincinnati has only been defeated once in their last five fixtures against Toronto FC across all contests.
• In their latest five encounters, Toronto FC only managed a single victory while FC Cincinnati saw four wins with no draws.
• Of their recent five encounters in the MLS, FC Cincinnati lost only once to Toronto FC.
• Toronto FC had just one win in their last five MLS matches against FC Cincinnati.
• On average, Toronto FC manage to score 0.8 goals against FC Cincinnati, who in comparison tend to net 2.2 goals.
• The overall average goal count for a meeting between these two teams is 3.
• The average number of goals scored in the first half when Toronto FC and FC Cincinnati meet is 1.
• At home, Toronto FC typically scores 1 goal whereas FC Cincinnati racks up an average of 1.6 goals when playing away.
• Toronto FC are currently on a losing spree in the MLS, suffering three consecutive losses.
• The team have lost their last 3 matches in a row.
• In a run of two games, Toronto FC was unable to score.