Match Pack: Chelsea vs Brighton & Hove Albion

On 28th September 2024, Chelsea and Brighton & Hove Albion face off in what promises to be a compelling Premier League match. Historically, Chelsea has dominated this fixture, winning 10 out of the last 16 meetings, while Brighton has secured just 2 victories, with 4 matches ending in draws.

Chelsea’s solid home form will be a significant factor; they have been averaging 1.6 points per game at Stamford Bridge this season. Brighton, on the other hand, is showing impressive resilience on the road with an average of 2.5 points per game away from home.

The previous encounters between these two teams have generally been high-scoring affairs, averaging 3 goals per match, and with a 63% probability of both teams scoring (BTTS), fans can expect an engaging contest.

Given Chelsea’s historical edge and home advantage, but also considering Brighton’s strong away form, this match could be finely balanced. A draw seems a plausible outcome, with both teams likely to find the back of the net. Predicted scoreline: Chelsea 2 – 2 Brighton.

Insights

• Chelsea have historically dominated with 10 wins out of their last 16 meetings against Brighton & Hove Albion.
• Brighton & Hove Albion have only managed 2 wins in their last 16 encounters with Chelsea.
• 4 of the last 16 matches have ended in a draw.
• Matches between Chelsea and Brighton average 3 goals per game.
• Both Teams to Score (BTTS) has occurred 63% of the time in their previous meetings.
• Chelsea are performing well at home, averaging 1.6 Points Per Game this season in the Premier League.
• Brighton & Hove Albion have a strong away form, averaging 2.5 Points Per Game this season in the Premier League.
• The last meeting between the two teams ended with a 2-0 victory for Chelsea.

Match Forecast

• Chelsea will likely capitalize on counter attacks, especially exploiting Brighton’s weakness in defending counter attacks.
• Brighton may attempt to threaten Chelsea with long shots, leveraging Chelsea’s weakness in defending against long shots.
• Brighton’s strong aerial duel capabilities could challenge Chelsea’s weak aerial defense, particularly during set pieces.
• Chelsea’s aggressive play style might lead to fouls in dangerous areas, giving Brighton opportunities to capitalize on their strength in shooting from direct free kicks.
• Brighton’s crosses and shots from set pieces can pose a significant threat given Chelsea’s struggle against aerial duels.
• Chelsea will rely on individual skills and through balls to create scoring opportunities, testing Brighton’s ability to defend.
• Brighton will target attacks down the wings and through the middle, utilizing their possession-based play to create chances.
• Possession football from both teams might lead to a midfield battle, but Chelsea’s flexibility in counter-attacks could shift the dynamic quickly.
• Brighton’s use of the offside trap could be a double-edged sword against Chelsea’s attempts of through balls and individual skills.
• Chelsea might struggle to stop Brighton’s chance creation, particularly against Brighton’s skilled players exploiting their defensive vulnerability.

Match Facts

• The most frequent scoreline between Chelsea FC and Brighton & Hove Albion is 1-1, occurring in 4 matches.
• In their last 8 home games against Brighton, Chelsea has won 5, drawn 2, and lost 1, with a goal difference of 13-5 favoring Chelsea.
• Over the last 18 meetings, Chelsea has 10 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses against Brighton, with a goal difference of 33-21 in Chelsea’s favor.
• Last season, Chelsea triumphed in both encounters against Brighton (3-2 at home and 2-1 away).
• Chelsea scores 27% of their goals between the 46th and 60th minutes.
• Brighton is unbeaten in their last 11 games.
• Brighton hasn’t lost any of their last 4 away matches.
• Brighton has not won in their last 4 games against Chelsea.
• A year ago, Chelsea was 13th on the table with 5 points, now they are 5th with 10 points.
• Chelsea has scored at least once in their last 7 matches.
• Chelsea wins the first half in 40% of their matches, while Brighton does so in 35%.
• Chelsea wins 40% of their halftimes, compared to Brighton’s 35%.
• Chelsea won their last meeting against Brighton by a 1-goal margin.
• When leading 1-0 at home, Chelsea wins 77% of their matches.
• When leading 1-0 away, Brighton wins 72% of their matches.
• When trailing 0-1 at home, Chelsea wins 20% of their matches.
• When trailing 1-0 away, Brighton wins 11% of their matches.
• Chelsea has a better Premier League performance compared to Brighton.
• Brighton’s recent form over the last 5 matches is better than Chelsea’s.
• Chelsea has lost just 1 of their last 5 games against Brighton in all competitions.
• Chelsea has won 4 of their last 5 meetings with Brighton, with no draws.
• On average, Chelsea scores 2.2 goals per match against Brighton, while Brighton scores 1.6 goals against Chelsea.
• The average number of goals in meetings between Chelsea and Brighton is 3.8.
• The average number of first-half goals in their encounters is 1.6.
• Chelsea scores an average of 2.36 goals at home, while Brighton scores 1.57 goals away.
• Chelsea is on a 3-match winning streak.
• Chelsea is unbeaten in their last 4 games.
• Nicolas Jackson is Chelsea’s top scorer with 4 goals; Danny Welbeck has scored 3 times for Brighton.
• Chelsea has kept a clean sheet in their last 3 matches.
• Chelsea’s form over the last 5 matches is better than Brighton’s.