CR Flamengo hosts EC Vitória in Game Week 38

As the Serie A season approaches its conclusion, Flamengo hosts Vitória in a Game Week 38 clash marked by a distinct David vs. Goliath feel. Flamengo is firmly set as the heavy favorites, given their commanding position with odds of 1.38 compared to Vitória’s 8.10. Their recent form enhances Flamengo’s status, as they are undefeated in their last eight matches and have shown defensive solidity by securing three clean sheets in their past five games.

Flamengo’s home ground has been nothing short of a fortress; they come into this encounter undefeated in their last three home fixtures. Meanwhile, Vitória approaches this match with encouraging momentum as well, unbeaten in their last four away games, suggesting they can pose a challenge.

Vitória has been consistent on the road, scoring in their last seven away games and notching up 12 consecutive games with at least one goal. This could test Flamengo’s resilient defense, even if Vitória is considered the underdog.

Historically, Flamengo has been dominant against Vitória, winning eight of their previous 11 encounters. In these matches, we often see goals, with an average of three goals per encounter and both teams scoring 64% of the time.

Despite Vitória’s ability to find the net on the road, Flamengo’s cocoon of form and home advantage should see them edge closer to securing a win. Expect Flamengo to assert their dominance yet again, though Vitória might sneak in a goal as they have consistently done against opponents in recent times. This matchup promises excitement, with Flamengo likely to triumph but not without some resistance from Vitória.

Insights

• Flamengo is unbeaten in its last 8 matches and hasn’t lost at home in the last 3 fixtures.
• Flamengo averages 2.2 points per match over the last 5 matches across all venues.
• Flamengo has kept a clean sheet in 3 out of their last 5 matches and has a total of 10 clean sheets this season.
• Flamengo scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches but failed to score in 2 of them.
• Both Teams To Score (BTTS) has landed in 2 of Flamengo’s last 5 matches.
• Vitória has been strong away from home, unbeaten in their last 4 away fixtures, and scored in each of their last 7 away games.
• Vitória has gone 4 matches without a loss and has netted in each of their last 12 games.
• Vitória averages 1.6 points per game over their last 5 matches.
• BTTS landed in 3 of Vitória’s last 5 matches, with a 57% BTTS rate for the season.
• Flamengo and Vitória have faced each other 11 times, with Flamengo winning 8 of those encounters and Vitória only 2.
• Flamengo averages 2.06 points per home game this season, while Vitória averages 1.06 points per away game.
• Flamengo are heavy favorites with win odds of 1.38, as opposed to Vitória’s 8.10.
• Previous meetings between Flamengo and Vitória have averaged 3 goals per match with BTTS occurring 64% of the time.

Match Forecast

• Flamengo will likely take control of the game in Vitória’s half through possession football and short passes.
• Flamengo’s strength in creating chances through individual skill and through balls could exploit Vitória’s weakness in keeping possession.
• Vitória might attempt to counter Flamengo’s possession play by attacking down the wings, especially using crosses.
• Flamengo’s strong capability in aerial duels could neutralize Vitória’s crossing attempts.
• Flamengo might look to exploit Vitória’s very weak defense against long shots.
• Vitória’s play style of attacking through the middle might be less effective against Flamengo’s ability to defend set pieces.
• Vitória’s strong ability to finish scoring chances could pose a threat, especially if Flamengo’s defense against through ball attacks is exploited.
• Flamengo’s non-aggressive play style might allow Vitória more opportunities to steal the ball and launch counter-attacks.
• There might be an intense battle for control on the left side of the pitch as both teams focus their attacks there.

Match Facts

• The 2-1 scoreline is the most frequent result in encounters between CR Flamengo RJ and EC Vitoria BA, occurring in 6 matches.
• In the last 8 home games for CR Flamengo RJ against EC Vitoria BA, they’ve emerged victorious 5 times, drawn once, and lost twice, with a goal difference of 10-7 favoring CR Flamengo RJ.
• Over their last 20 meetings, CR Flamengo RJ has won 10 times, drawn 5 times, while EC Vitoria BA has also claimed 5 victories, with CR Flamengo RJ leading the goal difference 31-27.
• CR Flamengo RJ scores 25% of their goals between the 76th and 90th minutes.
• EC Vitoria BA finds the net 23% of their goals during the 76-90 minute period.
• CR Flamengo RJ is unbeaten in their last 11 matches.
• EC Vitoria BA is undefeated in their past 4 away games.
• CR Flamengo RJ failed to score in 3 of their 18 home games in the current Brasileiro Serie A season.
• EC Vitoria BA also did not score in 3 of their 18 away matches this season in Brasileiro Serie A.
• Pedro tops the scoring charts for CR Flamengo RJ with 11 goals, while Alerrandro has netted 14 times for EC Vitoria BA.
• Gerson has provided the most assists for CR Flamengo RJ with 7, while Matheuzinho Martins Fogaca de Paulo leads EC Vitoria BA’s assists with 5.
• EC Vitoria BA has scored at least once in their last 12 matches.
• CR Flamengo RJ wins the first half in 37% of their games, compared to EC Vitoria BA’s 26%.
• The last encounter between the two teams was won by CR Flamengo RJ, with a one-goal margin.
• When CR Flamengo RJ leads 1-0 at home, they win 92% of the time.
• EC Vitoria BA wins 61% of their away matches when leading 0-1.
• If CR Flamengo RJ is trailing 0-1 at home, they recover to win 16% of the time, whereas EC Vitoria BA wins 7% when down 1-0 away.
• EC Vitoria BA shows better performance in the Brasileiro Serie A compared to CR Flamengo RJ.
• CR Flamengo RJ has a better performance in their last 5 matches compared to EC Vitoria BA.
• CR Flamengo RJ has only lost 1 of their last 5 matches against EC Vitoria BA in all competitions.
• In the last 5 meetings, CR Flamengo RJ has secured 3 wins, EC Vitoria BA has won 1, and there’s been 1 draw.
• In their last 5 Brasileiro Serie A clashes, CR Flamengo RJ has lost just once to EC Vitoria BA.
• EC Vitoria BA has only managed one win in their last 5 Brasileiro Serie A matches against CR Flamengo RJ.
• CR Flamengo RJ scores an average of 1.4 goals per match against EC Vitoria BA, while EC Vitoria BA averages 1.2 goals against CR Flamengo RJ.
• The average number of goals per match between CR Flamengo RJ and EC Vitoria BA is 2.6.
• In their meetings, the average number of goals scored in the first half is 1.2.
• Both teams did not win their last Brasileiro Serie A match.
• CR Flamengo RJ averages 1.81 goals at home, while EC Vitoria BA averages 0.97 goals away.
• CR Flamengo RJ’s performance in the Brasileiro Serie A surpasses that of EC Vitoria BA.
• CR Flamengo RJ scores only 3% of their goals between the first 15 minutes, the lowest percentage in the league.
• EC Vitoria BA has remained unbeaten in their last 4 matches.