Match Preview: Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Aston Villa FC

On May 5th, 2024, the Premier League will see a face-off between Brighton & Hove Albion and Aston Villa. A glimpse back at their last encounter wraps up with a tie game, Brighton & Hove Albion 1 – 1 Aston Villa. Their encounters total to 13 in the previous few seasons. Within those matches, Brighton & Hove Albion have been triumphant only once against Aston Villa’s 7 wins, leaving the rest 5 games in a draw. Brighton & Hove Albion presently showcases mediocre performance at home, while Aston Villa displays impressive performance away. Throughout their past encounters, an average of 2.85 goals have been scored, with both teams scooping a score 77% of the time. Analyzing their performance this current Premier League season, Brighton & Hove Albion has garnered an average of 1.69 Points Per Game in home matches, slightly edging Aston Villa’s 1.65 Points Per Game in away matches.

Insights

• The match on the 5th of May 2024, between Brighton & Hove Albion and Aston Villa promises to be a close contest, considering their last encounter ended in a 1-1 draw.
• Aston Villa historically has a better track record when facing Brighton & Hove Albion, with 7 wins out of a total 13 meetings, compared to Brighton’s sole victory.
• Aston Villa has an exceptional away game performance. This could sway the game in their favor given that Brighton has an average form in their home games.
• Past meetings between the two teams have a high goal average of 2.85, indicating a high possibility of a high-scoring match.
• There is remarkable consistency in both teams scoring in this fixture (BTTS), which has occurred 77% of the time in past meetings. Bettors may want to consider this statistic.
• The season’s current form suggests a very close match. Brighton & Hove Albion have averaged 1.69 points per game in home matches while Aston Villa has averaged slightly less at 1.65 points in their away matches.
• Despite Brighton’s less impressive statistics against Aston Villa, home advantage may play into Brighton securing a positive result.
• This fixture has a propensity to produce draws given 5 of the past 13 meetings have ended as such.
• Given Brighton’s average home form and Aston Villa’s strong away form, the odds could tilt in favor of a draw or narrow win for Aston Villa.

Match Forecast

• Given Brighton’s weak defence against long shots, expect Villa to capitalise on this.
• Aston Villa is strong at counter-attacks, Brighton may struggle to defend against these timely and fast attacks due to their noted weakness in that area.
• Both teams prefer attacking through the middle, this might result in a congested midfield play.
• Brighton’s weakness in stopping opponents from creating chances might favor Villa’s strength in creating chances using through balls.
• Aston Villa might struggle in aerial duels due to Brighton’s strong set-piece defence.
• It is expected that Villa will play aggressively given Brighton’s known issue with avoiding individual errors.
• Expect a battle of possession-based football since both teams tend to prefer short passes and keeping the ball.
• Brighton may exploit Villa’s weakness in defending against attacks down the wings by focusing their attacks down the left where they are strong.
• Once Brighton gets into the lead, it is likely that they will protect it strongly, given that opposing team Villa has a notable weakness in overcoming such situations.
• The match might witness frequent offsides from Brighton due to their struggle with avoiding offside situations. Aston Villa might take advantage of this by playing the offside trap.
• A consistent playing eleven expected from Villa, while Brighton might look to rotate their squad.

Match Facts

-In their last 6 home encounters with Brighton & Hove Albion, the team hasn’t managed to secure a win, while Aston Villa has claimed victory 3 times, leaving 3 games in a stalemate. The goal difference stood at 9-4, favoring Aston Villa.

-Over 14 previous face-offs, Brighton & Hove Albion was victorious once, there were 5 draws, and Aston Villa emerged triumphant 8 times. The goal difference was 28-14, again favoring Aston Villa.

-During the previous season, Aston Villa was victorious in both matches against Brighton & Hove Albion, winning 2-1 both at home and on the road.

-It is interesting to note, Brighton & Hove Albion scored 27% of their goals in late game, between the 76-90 minutes mark. Similarly, Aston Villa scored 26% of their goals during the mid-game, between the 16-30 minutes mark.

-Brighton & Hove Albion has struggled in the recent past by going five games without a win.

-In 3 out of 16 home Premier League games in the current season, Brighton & Hove Albion was unable to score.

-Likewise, Aston Villa failed to score in 3 out of their 17 away Premier League fixtures this season.

-With 8 goals, Joao Pedro is the top scorer for Brighton & Hove Albion, while Ollie Watkins has netted the ball 19 times for Aston Villa.

-Pascal Gross is leading in assists for Brighton & Hove Albion with 10, and Ollie Watkins leads assists for Aston Villa with 12.

-This time last year, Aston Villa stood 8th in the league with 54 points, now they sit 4th with 67 points.

-Aston Villa managed to score in 10 consecutive matches.

-Brighton & Hove Albion secure first half in 30% of their games, while Aston Villa does so in roughly 45% of their games.

-Aston Villa was the victor in their latest face-off.

-In the last match, Aston Villa outscored Brighton & Hove Albion by five goals.

-If Brighton & Hove Albion takes the lead at home 1-0, they generally win 69% of the time, but if they trail 0-1, their winning percentage drops to 18%.

-When Aston Villa takes a 0-1 lead on the road, they generally secure the win in about 73% of the time, but if they are down 1-0, the probability of them winning stands at a mere 15%.

-In the Premier League, Aston Villa has been outperforming Brighton & Hove Albion.

-Aston Villa has displayed better form in the recent five matches than Brighton & Hove Albion.

-Over their last five face-offs against Brighton & Hove Albion across all competitions, Aston Villa has yet to be defeated.

-Recapping the last five tête-à-tête, Brighton & Hove Albion secured no victories, Aston Villa claimed four wins, and one game ended in a draw.

-Aston Villa hasn’t witnessed any defeat in their last five Premier League matches against Brighton & Hove Albion.

-Unfortunately, Brighton & Hove Albion haven’t won a game in their last five Premier League contests against Aston Villa.

-On average, Brighton & Hove Albion net one goal against Aston Villa while Aston Villa tends to score 2.8 goals against Brighton & Hove Albion.

-Normally, a match between Brighton & Hove Albion and Aston Villa witnesses an average of 3.8 goals.

-An encounter between Brighton & Hove Albion and Aston Villa usually sees an average of 1.8 goals in the first half.

-Neither teams recorded a win in their latest Premier League match.

-On average, Brighton & Hove Albion manages to score 1.64 goals when playing on their home ground while Aston Villa notch up 1.65 goals on average when playing away.