Match Predictions: Arsenal FC vs AFC Bournemouth

The forthcoming Premier League encounter on May 4, 2024, pits Arsenal against AFC Bournemouth. The previous encounter between the two resulted in a 3-1 victory for Arsenal. They have crossed paths 14 times in recent seasons, and with Arsenal winning 11 of those clashes and AFC Bournemouth only managing 1 victory, the historical data seems to favor Arsenal. It should be noted that 2 of them have resulted in a draw.

Additionally, Arsenal’s home form has been phenomenal while AFC Bournemouth’s away performances have been fairly average. Historically, matches involving these two sides average about 3.36 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of the matches.

Considering this season’s Premier League data, Arsenal has managed an impressive average of 2.41 Points Per Game in home fixtures while AFC Bournemouth carries a relatively modest 1.24 Points Per Game from their away fixtures. It’s safe to predict an exciting and rather goal-heavy match, with Arsenal as the favorites based on their home form and historical head-to-head record.

Insights

• Arsenal’s historical performance against AFC Bournemouth has been considerably superior, with Arsenal winning 11 out of 14 past encounters.
• AFC Bournemouth has managed to secure a win only once in their past 14 matches against Arsenal.
• The last meeting between these two teams resulted in Arsenal beating AFC Bournemouth with a score of 3-1.
• Drawing scenarios remain infrequent between these two teams, with only 2 out of 14 previous matches having ended in a draw.
• Arsenal’s home performance has been excellent compared to AFC Bournemouth’s average away performance.
• Matches featuring these two teams have seen an average of 3.36 goals scored, indicating a probability for a game rich in goals.
• The ‘Both Teams to Score’ (BTTS) has happened 57% of the time, suggesting a fair chance for both teams to score.
• In the current Premier League season, Arsenal has averaged 2.41 points per game in home matches, whereas AFC Bournemouth has averaged 1.24 points in away matches–indicating Arsenal’s likely edge for this home game.

Match Forecast

• Arsenal FC will likely dominate the game in terms of ball possession, utilizing their short pass and possession play style in the opposition’s half.
• AFC Bournemouth will primarily aim at counter-attacks, capitalizing on any potential offside weaknesses from Arsenal FC.
• Arsenal FC, with their strong set piece defending and strong attacking down the wings, are expected to reduce Bournemouth’s long ball tactics effectiveness.
• As Bournemouth has a weakness in protecting their lead, if Arsenal FC scores early, they are likely to protect their lead and win the game.
• AFC Bournemouth’s aggressive play matches poorly with Arsenal FC’s non-aggressive style—this could lead to potential fouls and free kicks for Arsenal FC.
• Through balls from Arsenal FC are likely to breach Bournemouth’s defence, given their weakness in defending against such attacks.
• AFC Bournemouth’s strategy of attacking down the left will likely be met with a strong defense from Arsenal, potentially forcing Bournemouth to rethink their strategy in-game.
• Bournemouth’s weakness in finishing scoring chances could result in Arsenal goalkeepers having a less busy game.
• Both teams have strong abilities in creating long shot opportunities, so there might be great goal attempts from outside the boxes.
• Bournemouth’s strategy to come back from losing positions could define the second part of the game if they fall behind early, resulting in an intense and interesting matchup.
• Arsenal’s consistent first eleven will likely bring stability and fluidity into their game.

Match Facts

In their last 6 home encounters with AFC Bournemouth, Arsenal FC triumphed in all of them with no draws or wins for Bournemouth. Arsenal also took the goal advantage with a difference of 17-4.
Across the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Arsenal FC secured 11 victories, settled for 2 draws, while AFC Bournemouth managed just 1 win. The goal tally leaned heavily in favour of Arsenal FC, with a difference of 35-12.
Last season, Arsenal FC had a clean sweep against AFC Bournemouth, winning both the home (3-2) and away (3-0) fixtures.
Interestingly, Arsenal FC scores about 22% of their goals between the 76th and 90th minutes.
AFC Bournemouth has a similar tendency, scoring 24% of their goals towards the end of the match (76-90 minutes).
Out of their last 4 encounters with Arsenal FC, AFC Bournemouth has not seen any successes. When it comes to playing at the Emirates Stadium, Arsenal FC hasn’t lost to AFC Bournemouth in the last 6 matches.
In their current Premier League season, Arsenal failed to score in 2 out of 17 home fixtures, while AFC Bournemouth didn’t score in just one of their 17 away games.
Arsenal’s home record this season reads 13 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses. Bukayo Saka is Arsenal’s leading scorer with 14 goals, while Dominic Solanke tops AFC Bournemouth’s chart with 18 goals.
While Kai Havertz of Arsenal leads the club with 9 yellow cards, Marcos Senesi of Bournemouth tops his team’s list, having received 10 yellow cards so far.
AFC Bournemouth has experienced a streak of goalscoring form, netting in their last 9 games in succession.
While Arsenal FC wins the first half in 45% of their matches, AFC Bournemouth manages that in 26% of theirs.
Arsenal FC emerged victorious in the teams’ most recent meeting, and they won with a margin of 4 goals.
When holding a 1-0 lead at home, Arsenal FC convert that into victory in 89% of cases. On the contrary, AFC Bournemouth only manages to maintain a 0-1 away lead into victory 50% of the time.
When trailing 0-1 at home, Arsenal manage to overturn the result in 33% of matches. But when Bournemouth fall behind 1-0 away from home, they only salvage victory in 27% of games.
In the Premier League, Arsenal’s performance has been superior to AFC Bournemouth’s.
In the last 5 Arsenal vs Bournemouth clashes (all competitions), Arsenal came out on top in 4, with 1 draw and no wins for Bournemouth.
Additionally, at the Premier League level, Arsenal hasn’t suffered any loss in their last 5 matches against AFC Bournemouth.
Whereas, AFC Bournemouth hasn’t managed a win in their last 5 Premier League games against Arsenal.
On average, an Arsenal FC vs AFC Bournemouth match witnesses 2.6 goals from Arsenal and 0.8 from Bournemouth.
The average total goals in a game between these two is 3.4, with the first half seeing an average of 1.6 goals.
In their last matches, both teams enjoyed clean sheets (no goals conceded).
Lastly, on average, Arsenal FC scores 2.46 goals per home match while AFC Bournemouth scores 1.52 goals per away match.