Preview & Prediction: Chelsea FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FC

On May 2, 2024, Chelsea FC and Tottenham Hotspur FC will face off in the Premier League. Their most recent encounter ended in a narrow victory for Chelsea, with a scoreline of 2-1. Looking back at 41 previous fixtures, Chelsea boasts 21 wins compared to Tottenham Hotspur’s 8, with 12 matches ending in ties. Chelsea’s current form at home has been decent, while Tottenham Hotspur is performing notably well on the road. Historically, matches between these two teams have averaged 2.93 goals, with both teams scoring in 54% of games. As for this Premier League season, Chelsea has earned on average 1.75 points per home game, with Tottenham Hotspur averaging 1.5 points in away matches.

Insights

• The upcoming match between Chelsea FC and Tottenham Hotspur FC is set to take place on 2nd May 2024.
• The most recent face-off between the two ended with Chelsea victorious with a 2-1 scoreline.
• Analysing the history of their encounters reveals that out of 41 matches, Chelsea has a clear upper hand with 21 wins compared to Tottenham’s 8 wins.
• 12 out of these 41 matches resulted in a draw, indicating a moderate level of competitiveness throughout the rivalry.
• Chelsea’s current form at home exhibits average performance, while Tottenham’s away performance is notably strong.
• Previous encounters amongst the two clubs on average see a goal tally up to 2.93, indicating a relatively high scoring rate.
• The probability of both teams scoring in a match (BTTS) stands at 54%, indicating a fair level of likelihood.
• Evaluating performances this season in the Premier League, Chelsea has averaged 1.75 points in their home games, while Tottenham averages 1.5 points in away games.
• This points average indicates that while playing at home, Chelsea has a marginally stronger performance than Tottenham’s away performances.
• Tottenham, while impressive in their away game performance, will need to step up their game against a team like Chelsea who has not only a higher overall win rate against them but also has demonstrated stronger home game performance this season.

Match Forecast

• A high chance of Tottenham Hotspur FC taking advantage of the wings due to Chelsea FC’s relatively weak defense against long shots, combined with Tottenham’s strength in creating long shot opportunities.
• Both teams are weak at avoiding offside, which could result in several offside calls during the match.
• Expect both teams to frequently attempt through balls as it is a shared strength.
• Possibility of Chelsea FC leveraging their strength in finishing scoring chances, given Tottenham’s weakness at stopping opponents from creating chances.
• Potential for Chelsea FC to struggle in protecting their lead, if they get ahead, due to their challenges with avoiding individual errors and Tottenham’s strong ability to steal the ball.
• High probability of a ferocious battle in the midfield as both teams are known for possession football and aggressive play.
• Tottenham Hotspur FC might attempt to control the game in Chelsea’s half.
• Both Chelsea and Tottenham might struggle to protect leads due to shared weaknesses in this area.
• Chelsea FC’s right-sided attacks may meet a strong defense as Tottenham Hotspur usually attacks down the right, implying a stronger right-sided defense.
• High chances of individual brilliance creating goals for both sides since both teams have strong abilities in creating chances through individual skill.
• Both teams are strong at coming back from losing positions, so any leads taken may not secure victory.

Match Facts

• A 2-0 win for Chelsea FC against Tottenham Hotspur when playing at home is the most recurring outcome, having occurred in 6 matches.
• Over the span of the last 34 encounters at Chelsea FC’s home ground, Chelsea FC has dominated, winning 21 times compared to Tottenham Hotspur’s lone win; 12 matches ended in a draw. Chelsea FC also boasts a favourable goal difference of 67-28.
• In total, when looking at the last 73 matches between the two squads, Chelsea FC’s superiority is evident with 40 wins, 24 draws, and just 9 losses. The Blues also lead with a goal difference of 136-71.
• The last time Tottenham Hotspur clinched a victory on Chelsea FC’s turf was back in 2018.
• Last season, both teams achieved a 2-2 draw at Chelsea’s home ground, while Tottenham Hotspur won 2-0 at home.
• 24% of Chelsea FC’s goals tend to be scored in the final quarter of the match (76-90 minutes), while their lowest scoring interval (46-60 minutes) makes up for only 8% of their total goals.
• Interestingly, Tottenham Hotspur scores a quarter of their goals during the 46-60 minutes window.
• Chelsea FC is currently enjoying a 6-match unbeaten streak at home.
• Tottenham has not been able to overcome Chelsea FC in their past 8 meetings on Chelsea’s home ground.
• This Premier League season, Chelsea FC has failed to score in 3 out of their 16 home games. Similarly, Tottenham have not managed to find the net in 2 out of their 16 away games.
• Chelsea FC’s top performer is Cole Palmer with 20 goals and 9 assists. For Tottenham Hotspur, Son Heung-min has been the key player, with 16 goals and 9 assists.
• Tottenham Hotspur’s defense has been shaky, allowing goals in each of their last six matches.
• When it comes to winning the first half, the teams are almost neck-and-neck, with Chelsea pulling ahead in 30% of their matches and Spurs in 31%.
• Chelsea FC was the victor in their most recent face-off, outscoring Tottenham Hotspur by 3 goals.
• When Chelsea FC takes a 1-0 lead at home, they usually secure a win, with a success rate of 78%. In contrast, when Tottenham is down 0-1 away, the probability of a turnaround dwindles to 20%.
• In the Premier League, Chelsea FC generally outperforms Tottenham Hotspur.
• Chelsea FC’s attacking line has faced a dry period of late, failing to score in two consecutive games.
• In the previous five encounters, Chelsea FC won 3, Tottenham Hotspur managed to win 1, with 1 match ending in a stalemate.
• On average, Chelsea FC outscores Tottenham Hotspur with 1.8 goals per match to 1.
• The typical number of goals scored per match during Chelsea FC and Tottenham Hotspur clashes is 2.8, with an average of 0.8 goals in the first half.
• The teams tie in their last Premier League performance, losing their most recent match without scoring any goals.
• When playing on their home soil, Chelsea FC typically scores 2.24 goals, while Tottenham Hotspur averages 2.1 goals when playing away.
• Among both squads, Chelsea FC’s player Moises Caicedo tops the list with 10 yellow cards, while Tottenham Hotspur’s Yves Bissouma has amassed 7.
• In the last five matches, Tottenham Hotspur has outperformed Chelsea FC.