Match Pack: Leeds United FC vs Southampton FC

In the upcoming Championship clash set for 26th May 2024, Leeds United FC squares off against Southampton FC. It appears that Leeds United’s performance has been lackluster from their last 5 games as they’ve managed to gather only 4 points, averaging 0.8 points per game. Furthermore, they have only scored in 2 of these matches and have had a total of 5 goals. These statistics imply that they are struggling to find the back of the net in recent times, as they failed to score in 3 of their last 5 games.

On the other side of the pitch, Southampton FC has had somewhat better results, accumulating 6 points from their last 5 fixtures, with an average of 1.2 points per game. While they have also managed to score in only 2 of these games, they’ve been more successful in converting chances to goals, with 7 successful attempts on goal. However, Southampton’s offensive might have been dwindling, given that they were unable to score in their last 2 matches.

Historically, Southampton seems to have a slight upper hand with 6 victories against 5 from Leeds from their 13 previous encounters. Additionally, they also emerged victorious in their most recent confrontation, defeating Leeds 1-0. In terms of form, both teams are performing excellently in their respective home and away fixtures. Interestingly, these encounters average around 2.31 goals per game, however, both teams scored only 38% of the time.

When considering their season performance on the Championship level, Leeds United shines at home with an average of 2.33 Points Per Game, in comparison to Southampton’s away average of 1.67 Points Per Game.

In conclusion, this looks to be an immensely competitive matchup. Both teams will need to bring their A-game and perhaps adjust offensive strategies in order to secure a victory.

Insights

• Both teams are coming in with subpar recent performances, with Leeds United securing 4 points from their last 5 matches and Southampton 6 points from their last 5 matches.
• Leeds United has been struggling with scoring, netting only 5 times in the last 5 games and failing to score in 3 of the last 5.
• Southampton has had a slightly better attack, scoring 7 times in their last 5 matches, but they have also failed to score in 2 of the last 5 games.
• Betting on “both teams to score” (BTTS) might not be a reliable bet as it has landed only 20/45 times for Leeds United and 29/45 times for Southampton this season.
• While recent head-to-head games have favoured Southampton (6 wins against Leeds United’s 5), the games have not been high scoring, with an average of 2.31 goals per match.
• Previous matches also indicate that “both teams to score” has happened only 38% of the time, reinforcing the idea that BTTS bets could be risky.
• Leeds United has been performing better in home matches, with an average of 2.33 points per game, while Southampton has averaged 1.67 points per game in away matches.
• Considering the last meeting result (Leeds United 0 – 1 Southampton), Southampton may have a psychological advantage going into the match.
• Despite Southampton’s recent struggle with scoring, they have a slightly higher average of goals per game this season (1.89) compared to the last five games (1.4), suggesting potential for improvement.
• Leeds United’s recent form at home has been excellent, suggesting they could turn things around in this match.

Match Forecast

• Leeds United might exploit Southampton’s weakness in defending against attacks down the wings, due to their own strength in this area.
• Due to Southampton’s weakness in defending against counter attacks combined with Leeds United’s prowess in counter attacks, it’s probable that Leeds United might score via counter attacks.
• Southampton’s lead protection weakness may allow Leeds United to balance the score or take the lead in instances where Southampton is ahead.
• Southampton might struggle defending against Leeds United’s through ball chances due its strong ability to create them.
• Leeds United’s weakness in avoiding offside might give Southampton an opportunity to keep Leeds United’s attacks at bay.
• Southampton and Leeds United’s strength in coming back from losing positions may result in a thrilling and unpredictable match.
• There should be a large focus on wing-play as both teams favour this offensive strategy.
• Both teams’ intent to control the game in the opposition’s half and short pass play style might result in midfield being the heavily contested zone.
• Leeds United might exploit Southampton’s weakness in aerial duels through their set pieces.
• Leeds United’s propensity for long shots could also pose a significant threat; given that Southampton has shown a clear weakness in stopping opponents from creating chances.

Match Facts

• The past 19 home encounters saw Leeds United emerging victorious 10 times against Southampton FC, who won only 3 times while 6 games ended in a draw. Leeds United dominated with a 21-8 goal difference.
• Out of the last 38 clashes, Leeds United bettered with 18 wins over Southampton FC’s 12 and 8 matches resulted in a draw. Leeds United registered a goal difference of 48-33.
• The last match Southampton FC won visiting Leeds United was in 2012.
• Leeds United tends to score 21% of their goals within the first 15 minutes of play.
• Interestingly, Southampton FC scores 26% of their goals between the 76th and 90th minutes.
• Leeds United hasn’t lost any of their previous 4 at-home games against Southampton FC.
• Leeds United and Southampton FC have both failed to score in 3 out of their 22 home and away Championship matches this season respectively.
• Leeds United displayed an impressive at-home record this season: 16 wins, 5 draws, and 1 loss.
• The top scorer for Leeds United is Crysencio Summerville with 19 goals, whereas for Southampton FC, it’s Adam Armstrong with 20 goals.
• Georginio Rutter has the highest number of assists for Leeds United (14) and Adam Armstrong leads Southampton FC with 12 assists.
• Ethan Ampadu and Jan Bednarek have the most yellow cards for Leeds United (9) and Southampton FC (11) respectively.
• Leeds United wins the first half in 37% of their matches, whereas Southampton FC has a slightly better first half win rate of 42%.
• The last time these teams met, Southampton FC emerged victorious.
• In their previous encounter, Southampton FC secured a two-goal victory.
• Leeds United has an impressive 80% win rate when leading 1-0 at home, while Southampton FC has a win rate of 62% when leading 0-1 away.
• When trailing 0-1 at home, Leeds United still manages to win 50% of their matches. Conversely, Southampton FC only wins 8% of their matches when trailing 1-0 away.
• In the Championship, Southampton FC performs better than Leeds United.
• Recently, Southampton FC has outperformed Leeds United in their last 5 matches.
• Within their last 5 encounters across all competitions, Southampton FC lost only once to Leeds United.
• Among the last 5 matches, Leeds United won once, and Southampton FC won twice, while 2 games ended in a draw.
• Southampton FC hasn’t suffered any loss in their previous 5 Championship encounters with Leeds United.
• Leeds United has failed to win any of their last 5 Championship games against Southampton FC.
• On average, Leeds United scores 1 goal per match against Southampton FC, who typically scores 1.4 goals per match against Leeds United.
• The average goal count between Leeds United and Southampton FC in all their meetings is 2.4.
• During the first half of their games, an average of 0.8 goals is scored.
• The last Championship game for both the teams resulted in a loss.
• Neither team managed to score in their last match.
• At home, Leeds United typically scores 1.85 goals per match, while Southampton FC scores an average of 1.45 goals when playing away.
• Southampton FC is on a 3-game losing streak in the Championship.
• They’ve lost their past three matches sequentially.
• Southampton FC has failed to score in their last 2 matches.