Match Analysis: New York City FC vs Montreal Impact

In the upcoming MLS match between New York City FC and Montreal Impact, there are several important factors to consider. New York City FC’s recent performance has been underwhelming, having only garnered 2 points from their last 5 games, both at home and on the road. This equates to an average of only 0.4 points per game. However, they have seen both teams score in 3 of those games, and have managed to put up 3 scores in their last 5 games. With their previous 5 games concluding with more than 2 goals scored, there’s a fair chance we could witness multiple goals in this game. Their current performance indicates a struggle, underscored by 2 draws and 3 losses, and an inability to score in 2 of the last 5 matches. To turn this around, it’s clear New York City FC must improve their offensive strategy.

On the other hand, Montreal Impact’s recent performance has been significantly more confident, securing 9 points from their last 5 games, which results in an average of 1.8 points per game. However, the team has only managed to score in both teams in one of these matches. With 6 total scores in the last 5 games, it’s clear Montreal Impact has maintained a strong offensive presence. Having gone unbeaten in the last 3 games suggests Montreal are on a positive run. Yet, they too have struggled to score in 2 of the last 5 games. With 12 games this season without a single goal, Montreal Impact’s offensive tactics might need revisiting, as they’ve only managed to score 6 goals in the last 5 matches.

The last face off between the two teams on July 4th, 2024 concluded with New York City commanding a 3 – 1 win over Montreal Impact. In their 19 prior face-offs this season, New York City has had the upper hand with 12 wins, compared to Montreal Impact’s solitary 2. A total of 5 matches ended in a draw. Despite Montreal Impact’s poor away performance, and New York City’s strong home form, this match averages a historical 2.53 goals scored. Overall, both teams have managed to secure a goal 58% of the time.

This season in the MLS, New York City has averaged 1.9 Points Per Game in home matches, whilst Montreal Impact have averaged 0.82 Points Per Game in their away matches. Thus, the race between the two teams promises to be an intriguing one.

Insights

• New York City FC has been struggling recently, only managing to obtain 2 points from their last 5 games.
• The team has managed to score only 3 times in the last 5 fixtures, indicating that there might be room for improvement in their offensive strategy.
• In recent matches, New York City FC has had difficulty finding the back of the net, failing to score in 2 of their last 5 games.
• Despite recent struggles, matches involving New York City FC often end with both teams scoring, with BTTS landing in 62% of their matches this season.
• Montreal Impact is in better form compared to New York City FC, picking up 9 points from their last 5 games.
• They too have some struggles offensively, failing to score in 2 of their last 5 games and scoring just 6 times across these matches.
• Only 1 of the last 5 matches involving Montreal Impact has seen BTTS land, with the team winning 3 of these 5 games.
• Historical data shows that New York City FC has generally outperformed Montreal Impact in head-to-head matchups, boasting 12 victories to Montreal’s 2, with 5 draws.
• The last match between the two teams resulted in a victory for New York City FC with a scoreline of 3-1.
• The average goal count for previous matches between the two teams stands at 2.53.
• In terms of form at home and away, New York City FC and Montreal Impact are averaging 1.9 and 0.82 points per game respectively.

Match Forecast

• New York City FC may create promising opportunities with their strong ability to use through balls.
• Montreal Impact’s defense might face challenges against these through balls, but their strength in protecting the lead suggests they will not easily let their guard down.
• Both teams share a weakness in their ability to finish scoring chances. As a result, the game may see a lot of missed opportunities from both sides.
• Montreal Impact’s play style includes taking long shots; this could pose a problem for New York City FC, which has been noted as weak in defending against such shots.
• However, Montreal’s own weakness in defending against long shots could see them vulnerable to similar attacks.
• With both teams favoring attacks down the left, expect the left side of the field to be a significant battleground.
• New York City FC’s preference for short passes and keeping possession may see them dominate the ball. However, their tendency to play in their own half could offer Montreal Impact opportunities to apply pressure and create turnovers.
• New York City FC’s weakness in avoiding offside traps could be exploited by Montreal Impact, leading to potential scoring opportunities.
• A weakness in aerial duels suggests that New York City FC could struggle in set-piece situations, particularly against a team strong at protecting leads like Montreal Impact.
• Montreal Impact’s rotation of their first eleven could also bring in fresh legs and tactics that may catch New York City FC off guard.
• The match may see frequent fouls in dangerous areas, given NYC FC’s weaknesses in avoiding such situations. This could result in set piece opportunities for Montreal Impact.

Match Facts

• In their 9 previous home encounters with New York City FC, the hosts have claimed 5 victories, shared points 3 times, while Montreal have only won once. The goal difference stands at 18-8, favoring New York City FC.
• There’ve been 20 clashes so far; New York City FC emerged victorious 12 times, 6 matches ended in a draw, and Montreal won just twice. The goal difference of 35-16 again favors New York City FC.
• Last travel win for Montreal against New York City FC came back in 2015.
• In the previous season, matches ended 4-1 with New York City FC as home side, and 0-0 at Montreal’s turf.
• Of all the goals New York City FC scores, 24% are scored between 31-45 minutes.
• Montreal, on the other hand, scores 31% of their goals in final 15 minutes (76-90 minutes).
• Montreal hasn’t managed to win against New York City FC in their last seven visits.
• New York City FC failed to score in 2 of 11 home league games this season.
• Montreal couldn’t find back of the net in 9 out of 13 away games they played in Major League Soccer this season.
• New York City FC’s top assist provider is Richard Ledezma with 4 assists while Aaron Herrera has provided the most for Montreal (3 assists).
• Matias Pellegrini of New York City FC has the most bookings (8 yellows) compared to Montreal’s Joel Waterman with 6.
• New York City FC have first half lead in about 23% of their games while Montreal lead in the first half in 27% of their matches.
• New York City FC win 23% of halftime leads in their games while Montreal boast a 27% victory from the leading position at halftime.
• The last time both teams met, New York City FC was triumphant.
• In said meeting, New York City FC clinched a one-goal victory.
• New York City FC maintain 88% winning ratio when leading 1-0 at home; Montreal, on the other hand, have won all games when leading 1-0 away.
• When down by a goal at home, New York City FC manage to turn the game around in 11% of cases, while Montreal only do so in 8% cases when trailing away.
• In Major League Soccer, Montreal has outperformed New York City FC.
• Montreal has performed better in their last five games compared to New York City FC.
• New York City FC has failed to score in their last three games.
• New York City FC has won 3 out of the latest 5 head-to-head matches, with two ending in draws and Montreal winless.
• New York City FC have only suffered one defeat in their last 5 league games against Montreal.
• Montreal have only won once in their last five league showdowns against New York City FC.
• On average, New York City FC net twice per game against Montreal, who reply with roughly 0.8 goals.
• Clashes between the two average 2.8 goals.
• In home games, New York City FC average 1.57 goals per game, whereas Montreal scores about 1.24 goals in away fixtures.
• New York City FC are currently on a three-game losing streak in the Major League Soccer.
• They haven’t scored in those last three matches.
• Montreal, conversely, are on a three-match winning run in the league.