Preview & Prediction: Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls

The anticipated MLS face-off between Philadelphia Union and New York Red Bulls, taking place at Subaru Park, promises to be a thrilling encounter for betting fans. As it stands, Philadelphia Union holds a slim advantage with odds of 2.45, while New York Red Bulls aren’t far behind at 2.63. This underscores the competitive nature of this match that is expected to unfold on 7th July 2024.

Both teams demonstrate a significant contrast when looking at their recent performances. Philadelphia Union, for example, has only garnered 1 point from their last 5 games, with a disappointing BTTS landing in just 4 of these fixtures. They have a goal tally of 8 from these games, but their struggle is emphasized by the fact they haven’t secured a win during this period, suffering from 4 losses and 1 draw.

On the other hand, New York Red Bulls has shown more promise with 6 points from their last 5 games, and an average of 1.2 points per game. Despite this, they’ve only managed to score 7 times in these fixtures, and BTTS has happened in just 2 games. Their momentum is apparent, however, maintaining an undefeated streak in the last 4 games and managing to net more than 3 goals in their recent 3 games.

The historical record between these two teams is closely contested – from their prior 38 clashes, Philadelphia Union emerged victorious 15 times while New York RB claimed victory 14 times, leaving 9 draws. But Philadelphia has struggled on home turf lately, while New York RB has only had average away performances.

Considering the average Points Per Game this MLS season, Philadelphia Union has managed a meek 0.6 points at home, while New York RB has secured a slightly better 1.18 points in away matches. Finally, past matches between Philadelphia Union and New York RB averages 2.61 goals, with BTTS occurring 47% of the time. Given these trends, this should be an interesting battle.

Insights

• Philadelphia Union is in great form with an average of 1.8 points per game from their last 5 games and have scored 9 goals during that period. This is in sharp contrast to New York RB’s recent performance, only managing 0.6 points per game and 3 goals in the same period.
• Both Teams To Score (BTTS) has been a frequent occurrence in Philadelphia’s recent games, happening in 4 out of the last 5. On the other hand, BTTS landed only in 2 of the last 5 games for New York RB.
• Philadelphia has a strong home record. They are unbeaten in the last 8 games on their ground, have won the last 5 consecutive home games, and have scored in their last 5 games. Comparatively, New York RB’s away performance is average.
• New York RB seems to be struggling with scoring, having failed to find the back of the net in 2 of their last 5 games. Philadelphia, however, has consistently found the net, scoring in all their last 5 games.
• Statistically, the match is likely to be a high scoring one. The last 10 games for Philadelphia ended with 2 or more goals. Furthermore, matches involving these two teams have averaged 2.61 goals.
• Historically, matches between these two teams have been very competitive. Out of the 38 previous meetings, Philadelphia won 15 times while New York RB won 14 times with 9 ending in a draw. However, the last match between them ended with a 3-1 victory for New York RB.
• This season in the MLS, Philadelphia Union has averaged slightly fewer points per game at home (0.6) than New York RB at away matches (1.18). This detail could be crucial and give New York RB a much needed edge.

Match Forecast

• Philadelphia Union’s strength in creating scoring chances could exploit New York Red Bulls’ weakness in finishing, resulting in more goals for Philadelphia.
• New York Red Bulls’ strength in aerial duels could neutralize Philadelphia Union’s strategy of long balls and crosses.
• Philadelphia Union’s weakness defending against long shots could lead New York Red Bulls to take more attempts from afar.
• Philadelphia Union’s very strong ability to come back from losing positions might put pressure on New York Red Bulls’ claim to protect the lead.
• Both teams’ aggressive play style and a weakness in avoiding fouling in dangerous areas could see a high number of free kicks or penalties.
• Both teams’ weakness in keeping possession might lead to a match with frequent turnovers and possibly more counter-attacks.
• New York Red Bulls’ effort to steal the ball from the opposition could be fruitful given Philadelphia’s weakness in ball possession.
• Given both teams’ strengths in attacking set pieces and defending against them, set pieces could be deciding moments in the game.
• New York Red Bulls’ very weak attribute in avoiding individual errors may provide extra scoring opportunities for Philadelphia Union.

Match Facts

• The scoreline of 1-1 is the most frequent outcome in encounters between Philadelphia Union and New York Red Bulls, with 6 games ending this way.
• Out of the latest 23 games played at Philadelphia Union’s home ground, they claimed victory 11 times, while New York Red Bulls won 6 times, and 6 matches were drawn. Philadelphia Union lead the goal difference 37-30.
• In the past 46 games between the two sides, Philadelphia Union dethroned New York Red Bulls 17 times, compared to the Red Bulls’ 15 victories, with 14 games concluding in a tie. The goal difference is 62-57 in favour of Philadelphia Union.
• New York Red Bulls last clinched a victory as the away team against Philadelphia Union in 2018.
• Philadelphia Union triumphed over New York Red Bulls in both games last season, both at home (4-1) and away (1-0).
• Philadelphia Union is currently on a losing streak in the MLS, with 3 consecutive losses.
• Philadelphia Union tends to score 32% of their goals in the 46-60 minute timeframe, the highest rate in the league. On the other hand, New York Red Bulls score 24% of their goals in the same period.
• Philadelphia Union is on a losing streak, with 3 match losses in a row, and has not managed to claim victory in their last 6 games.
• Philadelphia Union has played 7 consecutive home games without achieving a win.
• New York Red Bulls have failed to attain victory against Philadelphia Union in their last 4 encounters.
• At their home ground, Philadelphia Union hasn’t faced defeat to New York Red Bulls in their past 8 encounters.
• Philadelphia Union didn’t manage to score in 2 of their 10 home games this MLS season, while New York Red Bulls were scoreless in 3 out of 11 away games.
• The home record for Philadelphia Union this season currently stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 6 losses.
• Philadelphia Union’s top goalscorer, Daniel Gazdag, has netted 10 goals whereas Lewis Morgan has scored 9 times for New York Red Bulls.
• For Philadelphia Union, Quinn Sullivan has the highest number of assists with 5, whilst Dante Vanzeir is the top assister for New York Red Bulls with the same number.
• Philadelphia Union has a 28% chance of winning the first half of a match, compared to New York Red Bulls’ 34%.
• The previous game between the two was won by Philadelphia Union where they had a 3-goal lead.
• Philadelphia Union has managed to secure victory in 66% of their matches when they lead 1-0 at home whilst New York Red Bulls won 44% of their games when leading 1-0 away.
• Philadelphia Union has a 27% winning chance when they’re down 1-0 at home compared to 22% for New York Red Bulls when they trail 1-0 away.
• In the MLS, New York Red Bulls generally play better than Philadelphia Union.
• Over the past 5 matches, New York Red Bulls have outperformed Philadelphia Union.
• Philadelphia Union hasn’t lost any of the previous 5 games against New York Red Bulls in all competitions, with 4 victories and 1 draw.
• On average, Philadelphia Union scores 1.8 goals per match against New York Red Bulls who score 0.6 against them.
• The average total goals scored between Philadelphia Union and New York Red Bulls is typically around 2.4, with an average of 0.8 goals happening in the first half itself.
• When playing at home, Philadelphia Union usually scores around 1.64 goals, whereas New York Red Bulls scores an average of 1.48 goals while playing as visitors.