Preview & Prediction: São Paulo FC vs CA Mineiro

In the upcoming Serie A clash on July 12th, 2024, CA Mineiro will put their impressive recent form into play against São Paulo FC. With 11 points from their recent five matches and an average score rate of 2.2 per game, Atlético Mineiro poses a significant threat. Over those matches, they netted 10 goals and both teams scored in 4 of these games. The home team will be buoyed by their flawless streak at home, with the last 4 games ending in victory. São Paulo’s defense will need to step up, given Atlético has been scoring consistently recently with 10 goals in their last five matches.

São Paulo, despite a lower average of 1.6 points per game, has managed 8 points from their last five games. They have been notably less prolific in front of goal, netting only twice in their previous five outings. However, their defense has been stellar, holding four clean sheets in five games. São Paulo would be seeking to maintain the decent momentum, only having faced one loss in their last five games.

The last time these two teams met, Atlético Mineiro clinched the game with a solitary goal, and over 24 previous encounters, Atlético Mineiro leads with 11 victories over São Paulo’s seven, the remaining six games ended in stalemates. Serie A stats this season reveal Atlético Mineiro has managed an average of 1 Point Per Game at home matches, while São Paulo accrued 1.57 Points Per Game on their travels.

Given the current form of both teams, this encounter promises to be riveting with an expectation of a few goals. Atlético Mineiro will aim to extend their unbeaten run, whereas, São Paulo will attempt to end their scoring drought and upset the home team.

Insights

• Atlético Mineiro has been in strong form, averaging 2.2 points per game over their last 5 fixtures and winning their last 4 home matches.
• Both Teams To Score (BTTS) has occurred in 4 of Atlético Mineiro’s last 5 games, indicating a consistent level of offensive and defensive engagement.
• Atlético Mineiro has maintained a strong goal scoring streak, netting goals in each of their last 7 games and a total of 10 goals in their last 5 games.
• São Paulo, while producing a lower average of 1.6 points per game over their last 5 games, has shown defensive strength, keeping 4 clean sheets over this period.
• São Paulo has struggled to score lately, failing to do so in 3 of their last 5 games and scoring only 2 goals during this period.
• The last time these two teams faced each other, Atlético Mineiro emerged victorious with a 1 – 0 score.
• Historically, Atlético Mineiro has won 11 out of the 24 previous encounters, while São Paulo has won 7. The remaining 6 matches ended in a draw.
• While Atlético Mineiro’s home form is a concern, São Paulo has been performing well in away games.
• Among all matches this season, the two clubs have averaged 1 (Atlético Mineiro at home) and 1.57 (São Paulo away) points per game respectively.
• The average number of goals in previous matches between Atlético Mineiro and São Paulo has been 2.25, with BTTS happening 46% of the time.

Match Forecast

• Due to São Paulo FC’s weakness at defending against attacks down the wings, CA Mineiro will likely get chances to attack via the left side.
• CA Mineiro’s aggressive style and strengths in stealing the ball may cause trouble for São Paulo FC, who tend to play with short passes.
• São Paulo FC could benefit from the fact that CA Mineiro is weak at avoiding fouling in dangerous areas, potentially leading to more free kicks for São Paulo FC.
• The weakness of CA Mineiro in aerial duels could be exploited by São Paulo FC, especially during the set pieces.
• Both teams have a tendency to take long shots, so it is likely to see a fair number of attempts from distance.
• CA Mineiro’s skillful use of through balls may disrupt São Paulo FC’s defensive line, which is already weak at stopping opponents from creating chances.
• São Paulo FC’s weak finishing may limit their scoring chances, especially against a CA Mineiro side that is strong at finishing scoring chances.
• The tendency of São Paulo FC’s opponents to play aggressively could match poorly with CA Mineiro’s aggressive play style, potentially escalating the physicality of the match.
• São Paulo FC’s tendency to rotate their first eleven may mean that CA Mineiro will face a slightly unpredictable lineup.

Match Facts

1. Usually, games between Atletico Mineiro MG and Sao Paulo FC SP at Atletico Mineiro MG’s home field result in a 1-0 scoreline. This outcome happened in five encounters.
2. The score 1-0 is the most frequent overall outcome of meetings between Atletico Mineiro MG and Sao Paulo FC SP. It occurred seven times.
3. In the past 21 games where Atletico Mineiro MG hosted Sao Paulo FC SP, Atletico has come out on top 11 times, six matches ended in a draw and Sao Paulo FC SP won four times. Atletico Mineiro MG has a goal difference of +9 (26-17).
4. Out of 44 meetings, Atletico Mineiro MG have won 17 times, Sao Paulo FC SP have emerged victorious 16 times, and there have been 11 draws. The score tally favors Sao Paulo FC SP with a goal difference of +7 (56-49).
5. Sao Paulo FC SP’s most recent triumph on Atletico Mineiro MG’s soil was five years ago in 2016.
6. Last season, Atletico Mineiro MG hosted a goalless draw and Sao Paulo FC SP had an even 2-2 match at their home.
7. Atletico Mineiro MG celebrates a four-game winning run at home in the Brasileiro Serie A.
8. Interesting fact: 24% of Atletico Mineiro MG’s goals come in the final minutes, between the 76th and 90th.
9. Atletico Mineiro MG has scored the lowest percentage of goals in the league (9%) between the 16th and 30th minutes.
10. A large proportion of Sao Paulo FC SP’s goals (41%) are scored in the last 15 minutes of the game (76-90 minutes).
11. Atletico Mineiro MG impresses with an eight-game undefeated streak.
12. Atletico Mineiro MG boasts four consecutive home match victories.
13. Sao Paulo FC SP has failed to secure a win in their last six away games.
14. Atletico Mineiro MG has six home games without a loss to Sao Paulo FC SP.
15. In Brazil’s Serie A this season, Atletico Mineiro MG failed to find the net in 2 out of their 18 home matches.
16. Whereas, Sao Paulo FC SP failed to score in 8 of their 18 away matches in this Serie A season.
17. Sao Paulo FC SP’s this season’s away performance shows no victories, 8 draws, and 9 losses.
18. Atletico Mineiro MG’s leading goalscorer Paulinho has netted 18 times, while Jonathan Calleri has netted 9 times for Sao Paulo FC SP.
19. Hulk is the top assist provider for Atletico Mineiro MG with 10 assists. Alisson has the most assists (5) for Sao Paulo FC SP.
20. Mauricio Lemos of Atletico Mineiro MG has amassed the most yellow cards (10) in his team. Rafinha from Sao Paulo FC SP follows with nine yellow cards.
21. Atletico Mineiro MG has managed to score at least once in their last 8 consecutive matches.
22. Atletico Mineiro MG has won the first half in 32% of their matches, while Sao Paulo FC SP has done so in 26% of their games.
23. Atletico Mineiro MG was victorious in their most recent face-off against Sao Paulo FC SP.
24. Atletico Mineiro MG won the last clash by a two-goal margin.
25. Atletico Mineiro MG has a 76% win rate when they take a 1-0 lead at home. In contrast, Sao Paulo FC SP wins 61% of the games when they lead 0-1 away.
26. When trailing by 1-0 at home, Atletico Mineiro MG has made a comeback in 28% of their matches, whereas Sao Paulo FC SP has done so in just 20% of away matches when they were 1-0 down.
27. Atletico Mineiro MG’s recent performance in the Brasileiro Serie A outshines that of Sao Paulo FC SP.
28. Sao Paulo FC SP has not scored in their last three games.
29. Both teams managed to keep clean sheets in their last match.
30. Atletico Mineiro MG is on a three-match winning streak in the Brasileiro Serie A.
31. Overall, Atletico Mineiro MG has won three matches in a row.