Preview & Prediction: Grêmio FB Porto Alegrense vs SE Palmeiras

The upcoming clash at Arena do Grêmio between Grêmio FB Porto Alegrense and SE Palmeiras promises to be an engrossing one. Grêmio, while having the home advantage, has a mixed record with half of their home games resulting in a win and the other half ending in defeat. Their goal record has been sub-par with just three goals in their last five games, and their failure to score in 36% of their matches this season suggests a struggle at the forward position. However, the team has shown resilience as it’s currently on a two-game undefeated streak.

Conversely, Palmeiras arrives in excellent form, having gathered an impressive average of 2.4 points per game from their last five encounters, including 11 goals. Despite failing to score in 42% of their games this season, their recent performances indicate a threatening offensive, with their last eight games featuring at least two goals. With only one loss in their last five matches, Palmeiras will be aiming to continue this positive momentum.

Historically, Palmeiras has had the upper hand with 13 victories to Grêmio’s five from their last 24 meetings. The previous encounter between these two teams ended in favour of Palmeiras, with a 3-1 scoreline. To add to this, Grêmio has been weak at home, while Palmeiras has shown excellent form when playing away.

Taking into consideration their Serie A season to this point, Grêmio has averaged 1.5 points per home game, while Palmeiras has averaged 2.17 points during their away fixtures. Overall, this suggests a slant towards Palmeiras given their strong away performance and Grêmio’s weaker home form. Expect a riveting match with a higher chance for Palmeiras to emerge victorious.

Insights

• Grêmio comes into the game with lower momentum, having gathered only 4 points from their last 5 games (averaging 0.8 points per game).
• Grêmio’s goal-scoring performance is not very strong lately; they have only scored 3 times in their last 5 fixtures and have fired blanks in 4 games out of the season’s 11 matches.
• However, Grêmio has a strong defensive streak, as suggested by the fact that only 2 out of their last 5 games have ended with both teams scoring.
• Palmeiras, on the other hand, shows a stronger performance coming into this game, with 12 points from their last 5 games, averaging 2.4 points per game.
• Palmeiras demonstrates a strong offensive line having scored 11 goals in their last 5 matches; however, they also failed to score in 5 games this season.
• Like Grêmio, Palmeiras also shows a solid defense, with only 2 of their last 5 games ending with both teams scoring.
• Historically, Palmeiras holds a better track record against Grêmio, having won 13 out of their 24 head-to-head matches, while Grêmio won only 5.
• Grêmio has shown a balanced performance at home with a 50% win rate but has also lost 50% of home games. Palmeiras, on the other hand, excels in away games.
• A potentially low-scoring match might be anticipated, as both teams have often ended their recent games without both teams scoring.
• Based on previous matches between the two teams, games tend to average relatively low at 2.42 goals, with both teams scoring happening just over half the time (54%).
• In this season’s Serie A, Grêmio have averaged less points at home matches when compared to Palmeiras’s results at away matches (1.5 vs 2.17).

Match Forecast

• Grêmio may take advantage of their strong finishing abilities and try to exploit Palmeiras’ weakness in defending against long shots.
• Palmeiras will likely aim to exploit Grêmio’s weak defending against through ball attacks, especially as this aligns with their strength of creating chances using through balls.
• Given that both teams are strong in attacking set pieces, fans can expect a few opportunities originating from corners and free-kicks.
• Both teams will likely see a number of aerial duels in the game due to shared weakness in this aspect.
• Grêmio’s attempt of short passes might be disrupted by Palmeiras’ strong possession football play.
• The counter-attacking style of SE Palmeiras could pose a significant threat to Grêmio, given their very weak defence against counter attacks.
• Given their attacking strength using the wings, Palmeiras might try to exploit Grêmio’s weak defence by launching attacks down the wings, where Grêmio has shown some vulnerability.
• Grêmio may experience difficulty protecting the lead due to their weak defence and Palmeiras’ strong counter-attacks.
• Palmeiras’ weakness in avoiding offside could provide Grêmio with potential opportunities to disrupt their attacking momentum.

Match Facts

• When playing at home, the score most repeatedly observed for matches between Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS and SE Palmeiras SP is a draw of 1-1 with 4 matches ending with such a score.
• In their matches, Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS and SE Palmeiras SP most frequently end with a 1-1 draw, a result repeated in 8 games.
• In the previous 20 home games against SE Palmeiras SP, Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS has achieved a win in 6 matches, drawn 7, and lost 7 with an overall goal difference of 22-18 in SE Palmeiras SP’s favor.
• Within their last 42 encounters, Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS has 10 wins, 13 draws, and 19 losses to SE Palmeiras SP with the goal difference being 59-39, again in SE Palmeiras SP’s favor.
• The results of the last season’s matches were 1-0 favoring Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS at home and 4-1 favoring SE Palmeiras SP at home.
• Fun fact: 25% of the goals SE Palmeiras SP scored occur within the 16-30 minute range.
• Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS hasn’t celebrated a victory in their past 6 matches.
• This season, Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS failed to score in 2 out of 4 home matches in the Brasileiro Serie A.
• SE Palmeiras SP hasn’t succeeded in scoring in 2 of their 6 away Brazilian A Series matches this season.
• Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS’s top scorer is Franco Cristaldo with 2 goals while for SE Palmeiras SP, it’s Estevao with 3 goals.
• Gustavo Nunes from Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS leads in yellow cards with 5, whereas Flaco Lopez from SE Palmeiras SP follows closely with 4.
• Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS has conceded at least one goal in their last 6 matches.
• In 32% of their matches, Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS has won the 1st half, as has the SE Palmeiras SP in 38%.
• The last match’s winner was Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS.
• Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS won the last encounter with SE Palmeiras SP by 1 goal.
• Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS has 85% win probability when they lead 1-0 at home, and SE Palmeiras SP gets 76% when leading 0-1 away.
• Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS recovers 40% of their matches when they are 0-1 down at home, but SE Palmeiras SP has a lower recovery rate of 18% when trailing 1-0 away.
• In the Brazilian A Series, SE Palmeiras SP shows better performance than Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS.
• SE Palmeiras SP has exhibited superior performance in the last 5 matches compared to Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS.
• In all competitions, SE Palmeiras SP has only lost once in their previous 5 encounters with Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS.
• Out of the last 5 meetings, Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS have won 1 game, SE Palmeiras SP 4, with zero draws.
• Only once in the last 5 Brasiliero Serie A games did SE Palmeiras SP lose to Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS.
• Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS has only triumphed in one of the last 5 Brasileiro Series A games against SE Palmeiras SP.
• Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS typically scores 0.6 goals against SE Palmeiras SP who scores an average of 2.2 goals against them.
• The average total goals scored in matches between these two teams is 2.8.
• The first half of games between these teams tends to see around 1.6 goals on average.
• Both Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS and SE Palmeiras SP haven’t won their last Brasileiro Serie A match.
• Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS averages 1.77 goals at home whereas SE Palmeiras SP scores around 1.42 goals when playing away.