Match Pack: Leeds United FC vs Burnley FC

As Leeds United faces Burnley at Elland Road for Game Week 5 of the 2024/2025 Championship season, the home team appears to have a distinct advantage. Leeds United, with win odds of 1.72, seems poised to capitalize on their superior form, especially considering Burnley’s longer odds of 4.40. Historically, Leeds holds the edge with 8 wins in their last 15 matchups, compared to Burnley’s 4 victories. With a past encounter ending in a 1-1 draw, the teams are no strangers to competitive clashes.

Leeds has shown decent form at home this season, averaging 1.67 points per game, whereas Burnley has struggled on the road, averaging only 0.83 points per game. Both teams have displayed average overall performances; however, given Leeds’ historical dominance and better home form, they should be able to secure a win. Matches between these two teams have commonly featured goals from both sides, with an average of 2.53 goals and BTTS occurring 60% of the time. Expect an engaging match with goals, but Leeds is likely to edge out Burnley for the three points.

Insights

• Leeds United holds the upper hand with win odds at 1.72, while Burnley’s odds stand at 4.40.
• Leeds United and Burnley drew 1-1 in their last head-to-head encounter.
• In their last 15 meetings, Leeds United has won 8 times, Burnley 4 times, with 3 matches ending in a draw.
• Matches between Leeds United and Burnley have averaged 2.53 goals per game.
• Both teams have scored in 60% of their previous encounters.
• Leeds United averages 1.67 points per game at home this season in the Championship.
• Burnley averages 0.83 points per game in away matches this season in the Championship.
• Leeds United is in average form at home, while Burnley is performing at an average level in away matches.

Match Forecast

• High likelihood of counter-attacks from both teams
• Key chances created through individual skills
• Strong finishing on display from both sides
• Steady possession football with short passing exchanges
• Leeds’ attack through the middle could challenge Burnley’s defense
• Burnley may struggle in aerial duels, offering Leeds opportunities from crosses
• Free-kick opportunities might pose a significant threat to Burnley
• Burnley might rotate their first eleven, leading to possible inconsistencies
• Physical and aggressive play anticipated from both teams

Match Facts

• The most frequent scoreline in matches between Leeds United and Burnley FC at Leeds’ home is 1-0, occurring in 4 games.
• The overall most common result in matches between Leeds United and Burnley FC is 1-0, happening in 5 matches.
• In the last 10 home games for Leeds United against Burnley FC, Leeds has won 7, drawn 1, and lost 2, with a goal difference of 14-7 in Leeds’ favour.
• Over the last 22 meetings, Leeds United has won 12 times, drawn 3 times, and Burnley FC has won 7 times, with a goal difference of 31-22 in favour of Leeds United.
• Burnley FC’s last away victory against Leeds United was in 2013.
• Burnley FC scores 30% of their goals in the first 15 minutes of their matches.
• Leeds United has remained unbeaten against Burnley FC in their last 3 home encounters.
• Brenden Aaronson is Leeds United’s top scorer with 2 goals, while Josh Brownhill has netted 2 goals for Burnley FC.
• Joe Rodon has received the most yellow cards for Leeds with 2, and Lyle Foster leads Burnley FC with 3 yellow cards.
• A year ago, Leeds United was 13th in the table with 5 points. They are currently 4th with 8 points.
• Leeds United has kept a clean sheet in their last 3 consecutive matches.
• Leeds United wins the first half in 43% of their matches, compared to Burnley FC’s 24%.
• Leeds United wins 43% of halftime scenarios, while Burnley FC wins 24%.
• Leeds United won their last matchup with Burnley FC.
• In their last encounter, Leeds United won by 2 goals.
• Leeds United wins 83% of their home matches when leading 1-0.
• Burnley FC wins 45% of their away matches when leading 1-0.
• Leeds United wins 50% of their home matches when trailing 0-1.
• Burnley FC wins 0% of their away matches when trailing 1-0.
• In the Championship, Leeds United’s performance surpasses that of Burnley FC.
• Leeds United’s recent form over the last 5 matches is better than Burnley FC’s.
• Leeds United has not lost any of their last 5 encounters against Burnley FC across all competitions.
• In the last 5 meetings, Leeds United won 4, Burnley FC won 0, and 1 match ended in a draw.
• Burnley FC has lost only 1 of their last 5 Championship matches against Leeds United.
• Leeds United has won just 1 of their last 5 Championship matches against Burnley FC.
• On average, Leeds United scores 2.2 goals per match against Burnley FC, while Burnley FC scores 0.8 goals against Leeds United.
• The average number of goals in encounters between Leeds United and Burnley FC is 3.
• The average number of goals in the first half of matches between Leeds United and Burnley FC is 0.6.
• Leeds United scores 2 goals per match at home, while Burnley FC scores 1.19 goals per match when playing away on average.