Preview & Prediction: AFC Bournemouth vs Southampton

On 30th September 2024, AFC Bournemouth will host Southampton in what promises to be a closely contested Premier League clash. Historically, Southampton has had the upper hand with 9 wins out of their last 17 meetings, while Bournemouth has managed just 4 victories, with the remaining 4 matches ending in draws. Despite this, Bournemouth has shown solid form at home this season, averaging 1.75 points per game, whereas Southampton has been less impressive on the road with 1.17 points per game.

Given that previous encounters between these two sides have averaged 2.53 goals per match and both teams have scored 41% of the time, we can expect a competitive fixture. Bournemouth’s home advantage could tip the scales in their favor, but Southampton’s historical dominance adds an element of unpredictability.

Considering the current form and historical data, a tight match with both teams finding the back of the net seems likely. AFC Bournemouth might edge this one out, but a draw is also a plausible outcome. Look for a final score around 2-1 or 1-1.

Insights

• Southampton has historically dominated the fixture with 9 wins to Bournemouth’s 4 out of 17 previous meetings.
• The last match between Bournemouth and Southampton ended 1-3 in Southampton’s favor.
• Matches between Bournemouth and Southampton have averaged 2.53 goals per game.
• Both teams have scored in 41% of their previous meetings.
• AFC Bournemouth has been in good home form, averaging 1.75 points per game this season.
• Southampton has performed averagely away, averaging 1.17 points per game this season.
• Bournemouth could leverage their home advantage in the upcoming match.
• Recent trends indicate potential for a moderately high-scoring game.
• Historically, the probability for both teams to score (BTTS) is less than half (41%).
• Southampton’s average away performance may offer Bournemouth an edge in the upcoming match.

Match Forecast

• AFC Bournemouth will likely attack down the wings frequently.
• Southampton FC could struggle to defend against crosses due to their weakness in aerial duels.
• Both teams might exhibit aggressive play styles, leading to a physical match with numerous fouls.
• AFC Bournemouth might attempt many long shots, taking advantage of Southampton’s poor defense against them.
• Southampton FC will likely create scoring chances through individual skill, exploiting Bournemouth’s vulnerability against skillful players.
• AFC Bournemouth may struggle to finish scoring chances despite creating many.
• Southampton’s weakness in avoiding individual errors could provide Bournemouth with more scoring chances.
• Southampton’s short pass and possession football might exploit Bournemouth’s weakness in keeping possession.
• Both teams might rotate their first eleven, leading to potential tactical surprises.
• Bournemouth may find opportunities through long balls and crosses, given Southampton’s defensive weaknesses.
• Bournemouth’s difficulty in defending through ball attacks might be exploited by Southampton.

Match Facts

• The most common result between AFC Bournemouth and Southampton FC is 0-2, occurring in 4 matches.
• In the last 11 home games against Southampton FC, AFC Bournemouth has won 2 times, drawn 2 times, and lost 7 times, with a goal difference of 17-8 in Southampton’s favor.
• Over the last 20 meetings between the teams, AFC Bournemouth has won 5 times, drawn 4 times, and lost 11 times, with a goal difference of 31-19 favoring Southampton FC.
• AFC Bournemouth’s last home victory against Southampton was in 2016.
• Both AFC Bournemouth and Southampton have conceded goals in their last 7 matches.
• AFC Bournemouth wins the first half in 28% of their matches, while Southampton FC does so in 48% of their matches.
• AFC Bournemouth wins 28% of halftimes compared to Southampton FC’s 48%.
• AFC Bournemouth won their most recent encounter against Southampton FC by 1 goal.
• When leading 1-0 at home, AFC Bournemouth wins 61% of their matches; when Southampton leads 0-1 away, they win 72% of their matches.
• AFC Bournemouth only wins 22% of home matches when down 0-1, whereas Southampton FC wins 18% of away matches when trailing 1-0.
• AFC Bournemouth has a better Premier League performance compared to Southampton FC.
• In their last 5 matches, Southampton FC has outperformed AFC Bournemouth.
• AFC Bournemouth has failed to score in their last 2 matches.
• In the past 5 meetings, AFC Bournemouth has won 2 times and Southampton FC 3 times, with no draws.
• On average, AFC Bournemouth scores 0.8 goals per match against Southampton FC, while Southampton FC scores 1.6 goals per match against AFC Bournemouth.
• The average number of goals in matches between the teams is 2.4.
• The average number of first-half goals in meetings between the two teams is 1.4.
• Both teams did not win their last Premier League match.
• On average, AFC Bournemouth scores 1.68 goals at home, while Southampton FC scores 1.59 goals away.