Preview & Prediction: Newcastle United vs Leicester City

With Newcastle United set to host Leicester City on December 14th, 2024, in the Premier League, the Magpies seem to have a slight edge due to their better home performances compared to the Foxes’ struggles on the road. History shows a fairly even matchup, with Newcastle securing eight victories to Leicester’s ten across their last 21 encounters. However, Newcastle’s home form has been steady, averaging 1.57 points per game, while Leicester’s away record this season has been underwhelming with only 0.71 points per game.

Despite Leicester City’s 3-0 win over Newcastle in their last face-off, the visitors have found it challenging to replicate such form away from home this season. The goals per match average across recent encounters between these two sides is just shy of 2.5, indicating potential for a relatively low-scoring affair unless circumstances differ significantly.

While both teams have had their fair share of victories against each other, Newcastle’s advantage at St James’ Park could play a crucial role in turning the tables this time around. An in-form Newcastle squad, capitalizing on Leicester’s travel challenges, may find success by maintaining solid defensive strategies and leveraging their home ground advantage. Expect Newcastle to push for a narrow win, unless Leicester manages to revitalize their away game tactics.

Insights

• Leicester City holds a slight historical advantage with 10 wins over Newcastle’s 8 in their last 21 meetings.
• Previous match ended with a decisive 3-0 victory for Leicester City.
• Newcastle’s home performance is average, whereas Leicester’s away performance is poor this season.
• The matches between these teams have a moderate goal average of 2.48 per game.
• BTTS (Both Teams to Score) has occurred in only 29% of their recent encounters.
• Newcastle United has a stronger home record this season with an average of 1.57 Points Per Game.
• Leicester City’s away performance this season is lackluster, averaging only 0.71 Points Per Game.
• Historical results suggest a close competition, but current form leans slightly towards Newcastle United at home.

Match Forecast

• Newcastle United will likely focus on attacking down the wings, exploiting Leicester City’s weakness in defending against wing attacks.
• Leicester City may struggle to defend against through ball attacks from Newcastle, given both teams’ strength in creating chances using through balls.
• Leicester City’s ability to come back from losing positions could be crucial if Newcastle takes an early lead.
• Newcastle might face challenges in finishing scoring chances and maintaining possession, which Leicester could capitalize on if they seize the opportunity to counterattack.
• Leicester’s weakness in defending set pieces might be targeted by Newcastle, especially if they can earn free-kicks or corners.
• Both teams have a shared weakness in keeping the ball, indicating potential periods of sloppy passing and possession turnover.
• Newcastle needs to be wary of individual errors which could gift scoring opportunities to Leicester, known for their strong finishing ability.
• Newcastle’s defensive vulnerability on the wings could be exploited by Leicester if they focus their attack on wide areas.
• Leicester might play defensively in their half, looking for counter-attacks, especially with Newcastle’s preference for wing attacks and width.
• The attacking play style and opponent aggression towards Newcastle could lead to frequent fouling, possible dangerous set pieces for Newcastle to exploit.

Match Facts

• The most frequent scoreline when Newcastle United hosts Leicester City is 1-0, occurring in 5 matches.
• Across all matches between Newcastle United and Leicester City, the most common result is 1-0, appearing 6 times.
• In the previous 19 meetings where Newcastle United is at home, they’ve secured 10 wins, there have been 3 draws, and Leicester City has won 6 times, with a goal difference of 26-25 favoring Newcastle United.
• Over the last 37 encounters, Newcastle United has emerged victorious 16 times, there have been 8 draws, while Leicester City has won 13 matches, with Leicester City leading the goal difference 50-43.
• Newcastle United scores 29% of their goals between the 76th and 90th minutes.
• Leicester City scores 32% of their goals between the 61st and 75th minutes.
• Newcastle United is unbeaten in their last 3 home games against Leicester City.
• Newcastle United did not score in 2 of their 7 Premier League home matches this season.
• Leicester City failed to score in 1 of their 7 Premier League away matches this season.
• Alexander Isak is Newcastle United’s leading goal-scorer with 6 goals, while Jamie Vardy has netted 5 times for Leicester City.
• Dan Burn holds the most yellow cards for Newcastle United with 5, while Facundo Buonanotte matches this count for Leicester City.
• A year ago, Newcastle United was 7th in the standings with 26 points; they are now 12th with 20 points.
• Leicester City has allowed a goal in each of their last 8 matches.
• Newcastle United wins the first half in 40% of their games, and Leicester City does so in 41%.
• Newcastle United wins 40% of all halftimes, while Leicester City wins 41%.
• Their last encounter ended in a scoreless draw (0-0).
• When Newcastle United leads 1-0 at home, they win 73% of those matches.
• When Leicester City leads 0-1 away, they win 66% of those games.
• Newcastle United wins 14% of their matches when trailing 0-1 at home.
• Leicester City wins 7% of their matches when down 1-0 away.
• Newcastle United shows a stronger performance in the Premier League compared to Leicester City.
• Newcastle United’s recent form in their last 5 games is better compared to Leicester City’s.
• Newcastle United has lost only 1 of their last 5 matches against Leicester City across all competitions.
• In their last 5 confrontations, Newcastle United won 3 times, Leicester City won once, and there was 1 draw.
• Newcastle United has lost just 1 of their last 5 Premier League fixtures against Leicester City.
• Leicester City has achieved just 1 win in their last 5 Premier League clashes against Newcastle United.
• On average, Newcastle United scores 1.4 goals per match against Leicester City, who scores 1 goal against them.
• The average number of goals scored in games between Newcastle United and Leicester City is 2.4.
• The average number of goals in the first half of matches between these teams is 1.2.
• On average, Newcastle United scores 2.09 goals when playing at home, compared to Leicester City’s 1.48 goals when playing away.
• Newcastle United scores 26% of their goals between the 31st and 45th minutes.
• Newcastle United hasn’t secured a win in their last 4 games.
• Jacob Murphy holds the most assists for Newcastle United with 4, while Wilfred Ndidi leads for Leicester City also with 4 assists.
• Newcastle United has conceded at least one goal in each of their last 5 matches.