Preview & Prediction: Middlesbrough FC vs Derby County FC

The upcoming clash between Middlesbrough FC and Derby County FC appears to favor the home side. Middlesbrough has shown a relatively better form, securing 3 points in their last 5 matches with an average of 0.6 points per game. Despite not being in their best form, they have a history of finding the back of the net as both teams have scored in 4 of these recent matches, indicating their capability to score even when under pressure.

Contrastingly, Derby County is struggling, with just 2 points gleaned from their last 5 fixtures and a worrying average of 0.4 points per game. Their offensive struggles are evident as they’ve only scored once in the last 5 games and have failed to score in their last 3 matches consecutively. The away form of Derby County has been particularly poor, averaging only 0.47 points per game, far less than what Middlesbrough averages at home.

Historically, Middlesbrough has had the upper hand in this fixture, winning 13 out of the 27 previous encounters, while Derby County has won 7. Given the current team trends and previous head-to-head outcomes, Middlesbrough is likely to capitalize on their home advantage.

Considering Middlesbrough’s better home form and Derby’s struggles on the road and in front of goal, it seems probable that Middlesbrough might edge out for a victory. Derby’s ongoing goal-scoring issues might not see them break their drought unless significant tactical changes are implemented. Therefore, Middlesbrough is likely to continue their dominance in this matchup and could secure a win against Derby County.

Insights

• Middlesbrough holds a better head-to-head record against Derby County, winning 13 out of their last 27 encounters.
• Middlesbrough has picked up 3 points from the last 5 games compared to Derby County’s 2 points, indicating both teams are currently struggling.
• Both Teams To Score (BTTS) has occurred in 4 of Middlesbrough’s last 5 games, showcasing a tendency for both teams to find the net.
• Derby County has struggled offensively, scoring only once in the last 5 fixtures, underlining potential issues in attack.
• Middlesbrough averages 1.53 Points Per Game at home this season, while Derby County averages a lower 0.47 Points Per Game away.
• BTTS has landed in 56% of Middlesbrough’s matches this season compared to 50% for Derby County, suggesting a slight inclination towards BTTS occurring in their games.
• The last match between these two teams resulted in a 2-0 win for Middlesbrough, possibly favoring them psychologically.
• Middlesbrough’s defense has allowed goals consistently, with 4 of their last 5 matches ending in BTTS, while Derby County has failed to score in their last 3 matches, highlighting a strong case for Middlesbrough’s clean sheet potential.
• Previous encounters between the teams have averaged 2.41 goals, suggesting a moderate-scoring fixture is likely.

Match Facts

• When Middlesbrough FC hosts Derby County, the most frequent scoreline is a 2-0 win for Middlesbrough, occurring 4 times.
• Overall, the most common result between Middlesbrough and Derby is 1-0 in favor of Middlesbrough, which has happened 8 times.
• In the past 20 home games against Derby County, Middlesbrough FC has won 13 matches, drawn 4, and lost 3, with a goal difference of 46-21 favoring Middlesbrough.
• Across the last 41 encounters, Middlesbrough FC has emerged victorious 21 times, while Derby County has won 11 times, with 9 matches ending in a draw. The goal tally reads 70-47 in Middlesbrough’s favor.
• Derby County last secured an away victory at Middlesbrough in 2017.
• Middlesbrough FC is currently struggling in the Championship with a losing streak of 5 matches.
• Notably, Middlesbrough scores 25% of their goals between the 76th and 90th minutes.
• The team scores only 4% of their goals between the 61st and 75th minutes, marking it as the lowest percentage in the league.
• Derby County, however, scores 27% of their goals in the 61st to 75th minute window.
• Middlesbrough has suffered 5 consecutive losses.
• Derby County has not won in their past 12 games and is winless in their last 10 away fixtures.
• In the last four home games against Derby, Middlesbrough has not been defeated.
• Middlesbrough FC has failed to score in 5 of their 17 home Championship games this season.
• Derby County has also failed to score in 6 out of their 17 away Championship matches.
• This season, Derby County’s away record stands at 1-5-11.
• Tommy Conway is Middlesbrough’s leading scorer with 9 goals, while Jerry Yates has netted 7 times for Derby County.

• Finn Azaz has provided the most assists for Middlesbrough with 9, whereas Nathaniel Mendez is Derby’s top assister with 4.
• Middlesbrough FC has conceded a goal in each of their last 5 matches.
• Derby County hasn’t found the net in their last 3 matches.
• Middlesbrough FC wins the first half in 35% of their games, compared to Derby County who does so in 25%.
• Middlesbrough wins 35% of halftimes, whereas Derby County wins 25%.
• Derby County was the winner of their most recent clash.
• Derby secured a 1-goal victory in their last meeting.
• When leading 1-0 at home, Middlesbrough FC wins 70% of their matches.
• Derby County wins half of their away matches when leading 0-1.
• Middlesbrough FC wins 12% of their home games when trailing 0-1.
• Derby County’s win rate when down 1-0 away is 0%.
• Derby County has displayed better overall performance this Championship season compared to Middlesbrough FC.
• In their last five matches, Derby County’s form is superior to that of Middlesbrough FC.
• Derby County currently endures a streak of 3 matches without scoring.
• In their last 5 meetings, both Middlesbrough and Derby have secured 2 wins each, with 1 match ending in a draw.
• On average, Middlesbrough scores 1.6 goals against Derby County, while Derby averages 0.8 goals against Middlesbrough.
• The average number of goals in clashes between Middlesbrough and Derby is 2.4.
• The first half of their meetings sees an average of 1.8 goals.
• Both teams failed to win their last Championship match.
• Both teams lost in their previous match.
• At home, Middlesbrough scores an average of 1.52 goals, while Derby County scores 1 goal away.