Preview & Prediction: Brighton & Hove Albion vs Leeds United

Brighton & Hove Albion host Leeds United at the Amex Stadium on November 1, 2025, in a Premier League Matchweek 11 clash that brings together two teams with contrasting trajectories in the 2025–26 season. Under Fabian Hürzeler, Brighton continue to impress with their possession-based, attacking style, building on a top-half finish in 2024–25, led by João Pedro’s clinical finishing and Yankuba Minteh’s pace on the wings. The Amex’s vibrant atmosphere, fueled by the North Stand, has become a fortress, amplifying Brighton’s high-pressing game. Leeds United, managed by Daniel Farke, are fighting to establish themselves after promotion from the 2024–25 Championship, with Crysencio Summerville’s dynamism and Wilfried Gnonto’s speed driving their counterattacking threat. The Whites’ away form has been mixed, but their high-energy approach poses a challenge to possession-dominant teams. This matchup contrasts Brighton’s fluid 4-3-3, which thrives on intricate build-up and wide overloads, against Leeds’ frenetic 4-2-3-1, designed to disrupt and exploit transitions. The 31,800-capacity Amex will be buzzing, with Brighton’s fans creating a hostile environment to unsettle Leeds. Both teams, with Brighton aiming for a top-six spot and Leeds targeting survival, will see this as a chance to gain momentum, with tactical battles and individual flair likely to decide a competitive, end-to-end encounter.

Insights:

• Brighton posted an 9–6–4 home record in 2024–25, averaging 1.7 goals per game at the Amex, where the North Stand’s atmosphere often forces turnovers from visiting defenses.
• Leeds secured 15 away wins in the 2024–25 Championship, averaging 1.9 goals per game, but face a step-up against Premier League possession teams like Brighton.
• Brighton’s 4-3-3 under Hürzeler emphasizes possession and high pressing, while Leeds’ 4-2-3-1 focuses on defensive solidity and rapid counters.
• João Pedro (9 goals, 7 assists in 2024–25) versus Leeds’ Pascal Struijk (2.2 tackles per game) will be key, with Pedro’s movement testing Struijk’s positioning in the box.
• Brighton lead the series 4–2–3 since 2017, including a 2–1 home win in 2022–23, where Pedro scored, boosting their confidence.
• Brighton aim for a top-six finish to secure European football, while Leeds target mid-table stability in their return season, making points crucial.
• Brighton’s Evan Ferguson is fit after a minor injury, but Leeds’ Georginio Rutter is questionable with a hamstring strain, potentially limiting their attack.
• The Amex’s vocal North Stand contrasts with Leeds’ passionate away supporters, creating a lively atmosphere for this matchup.
• Hürzeler’s use of inverted fullbacks could exploit Leeds’ wide defending, while Farke’s emphasis on midfield pressing aims to disrupt Brighton’s rhythm.
• Historical clashes at the Amex average 2.5 goals per game, often featuring late goals or counterattacking strikes.

Match Forecasts:

• João Pedro is likely to score or assist, using his 2024–25 form (9 goals) to exploit Leeds’ high line with his movement and finishing inside the box.
• Crysencio Summerville (19 goals in 2024–25 Championship) could trouble Brighton’s defense on the break, targeting Lewis Dunk’s positioning with his pace and dribbling.
• Brighton’s Billy Gilmour (87% passing accuracy) will battle Leeds’ Ethan Ampadu and Ilia Gruev, who averaged 2.1 tackles per game, with midfield control shaping the tempo.
• Brighton converted 12% of corners into shots in 2024–25, with Dunk a aerial threat; Leeds’ Struijk is strong defending set pieces.
• Brighton’s Yankuba Minteh could provide a late spark off the bench, while Leeds’ Wilfried Gnonto offers speed to shift momentum in the final 20 minutes.
• Leeds’ backline, untested in the Premier League, may struggle against Brighton’s fluid attacks, which averaged 1.8 successful dribbles per game in 2024–25.
• The game may start with Brighton’s high press, but 60% of Leeds’ recent away games featured goals after the 75th minute, suggesting late drama.
• Tactical battle hinges on Brighton’s possession (55% average) versus Leeds’ counterattacking threat (1.7 counters per game), with turnovers likely decisive.

Brighton & Hove Albion 2–1 Leeds United Brighton’s home advantage and attacking cohesion, led by Pedro’s clinical edge, should secure a narrow victory. The Amex atmosphere will fuel Brighton’s early press, likely leading to a goal from a quick transition or set piece. Leeds’ counterattacking threat, driven by Summerville’s pace, could see them pull one back, but Brighton’s tactical discipline and Hürzeler’s adjustments will clinch the points in a competitive match.

Match Facts:

• Brighton lead the series 4–2–3 since 2017, with 25 goals scored in those matches (2.3 goals per game average), often featuring open, high-energy encounters.
• Amex Stadium, with a 31,800 capacity, is expected to sell out, with the North Stand creating a hostile atmosphere reaching 105 decibels during key moments.
• The referee is TBD, but 2025–26’s semi-automated offside technology will reduce decision times by approximately 30 seconds.
• Broadcast on TBD (UK) and Peacock (US) with English and Spanish commentary; local radio includes BBC Radio Sussex and BBC Radio Leeds.
• Brighton on November 1, 2025, forecasts 58°F with a 25% chance of light rain, potentially aiding quick passing on a slick pitch.
• A Brighton win would mark their 50th Premier League home victory since 2017, strengthening their top-six push.
• João Pedro is two goals shy of 20 Premier League goals for Brighton; Crysencio Summerville could reach 10 goals for Leeds with a strike.
• Brighton have won 65% of home games against promoted sides since 2020, often capitalizing on early pressure to secure results.