Match Analysis: Cruzeiro EC vs Chapecoense AF (25/05/2026)

Prediction

As Cruzeiro and Chapecoense prepare to face off on May 24th in the Serie A, the odds appear to be stacked in favor of the home side, Cruzeiro. While their last encounter saw Chapecoense emerge victorious with a 2-0 win, current form and trends suggest otherwise for the upcoming match.

Cruzeiro is currently showing decent form, with their recent results reading a sequence of D-W-W-W-L and averaging a solid 1.50 points per game at home this season. They also hold a slight historical edge with 7 wins out of their last 18 encounters against Chapecoense, who have won only 6.

Chapecoense, on the other hand, continue to struggle significantly, managing an average of just 0.33 points per game away from home. Their recent form paints a rather bleak picture: L-L-L-L-D. This stark contrast in performances is indicative of their ongoing challenges on the road.

Historically, matches between these teams average 2.11 goals with the chance of both teams scoring being relatively low at 39%. Given these insights, Cruzeiro’s momentum and Chapecoense’s continued struggles away from home, Cruzeiro are likely to have the upper hand in this fixture. A cruise to victory seems probable, with Chapecoense needing a drastic turnaround in their form to change the narrative.

Insights

• Cruzeiro are in relatively good form with a record of 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five matches.
• Chapecoense are struggling significantly, with four losses and one draw in their last five matches.
• Cruzeiro has historically performed better at home compared to Chapecoense’s poor performance in away matches this season.
• In their last encounter, Chapecoense won 2-0, indicating they can still pose a threat despite current form.
• Cruzeiro has an edge in head-to-head history, winning 7 out of 18 games against Chapecoense and losing 6, with 5 draws.
• Average goals per match between these teams stand at 2.11, highlighting potential moderate goal activity.
• The likelihood of both teams scoring (BTTS) in past meetings is relatively low at 39%.
• Cruzeiro averages 1.5 Points Per Game at home, showcasing their resilience on their home pitch this season.
• Chapecoense’s form on the road is poor, averaging only 0.33 Points Per Game away, which limits their competitiveness in away matches.