Match Analysis: New York Red Bulls take on DC United

This MLS match on the 30th of June, 2024, will see New York Red Bulls take on DC United. Based on past performance, New York Red Bulls has gathered an average of 1.2 points from their past 5 games, with Both Teams To Score (BTTS) occurring in 4 of those matches. They’ve managed to net 9 goals over these matches. On the other hand, DC United has accrued an average of 1.4 points from their last 5 games, with BTTS happening in just one of those matches. Scoring 6 times in those matches.

New York has consistently shown goal scoring form, especially on home ground, with a goal in their last 4 home games. They’ve had 3 no-score home games this season. This match may see some goals as 7 of their previous matches have all ended with over 3 goals. From their last 5 games, they’ve scored 17 goals. In 52% of their season’s matches, BTTS has happened.

DC United, struggling in terms of goal scoring, have failed to score in 2 of their last 5 matches. Only one from their last 5 games has ended with BTTS. They’ve however managed to win 2 out of the 5.

In past encounters, New York Red Bulls has triumphed over DC United 23 times out of their 45 previous meetings, while DC United managed to secure 10 wins, the other 12 resulting in a draw. Their last match ended in a 2-0 win for New York. The historical average goal per match stands at 2.47 with BTTS happening 38% of the time.

Statistically for this season, New York has averaged 2.33 points per home match, while DC United has averaged a low 0.78 points on away games. Considering these statistics, New York RB looks to be in a stronger position.

Insights

• New York Red Bulls (NYRB) have a solid scoring record, netting in their last 4 home games and scoring 9 times in their last 5 overall matches.
• NYRB games are characterized by high scoring, with 3 or more goals in their last 7 games and a total of 17 goals in their last 5 matches.
• NYRB games often result in both teams scoring, evident in 4 of their last 5 matches and in 52% of all their matches this season.
• However, NYRB has struggled to maintain a clean sheet, failing to score in 3 home matches this season.
• On the other hand, DC United has a slightly better recent record, garnering 7 points from their last 5 matches, compared to NYRB’s 6.
• DC United’s defense has been more solid, with both teams scoring in only 1 of their last 5 games and in only 13 out of 24 matches this season.
• However, DC United has faced challenges upfront, failing to score in 2 of their last 5 matches.
• Having met 45 times in the past, NYRB has a clear upper hand with 23 wins compared to DC United’s 10, and 12 matches ending in a draw.
• The last meeting between NYRB and DC United ended in a 2-0 victory for NYRB.
• This season, NYRB has averaged 2.33 Points Per Game at home while DC United lags behind with 0.78 Points Per Game on the road.
• With NYRB in excellent home form and DC United performing poorly away, the upcoming match may favor NYRB.
• However, the average of 2.47 goals and BTTS occurring 38% of the time in the previous meetings between these teams suggests an intriguing match ahead.

Match Forecast

• New York Red Bulls may take control of the game in the opposition’s half, putting more pressure on DC United’s defensive line.
• Both teams being strong at aerial duels will potentially see a heated contest for airballs.
• New York Red Bulls will likely resorts to long balls and crosses, particularly from the right side.
• Due to Red Bull’s inability to finish scoring chances coupled with DC United’s weakness in defending through balls, missed opportunities could be plentiful.
• Since both teams play aggressively, it can be expected there would be quite a number of fouls, potential yellow or red cards.
• DC United may struggle to control the game due to Red Bulls’ strength in stealing the ball and attacking presence.
• DC United’s weakness against attacks down the wings may be exploited by Red Bulls’ tendency to attack through the right.
• Given the Red Bulls’ difficulty in retaining possession, DC United might capitalize on this to maintain control and setup opportunities.
• Both teams have a record of individual errors, which could result in pointless penalties or turnovers.
• As Red Bulls are strong with set pieces, while DC United is only moderate in defending them, this means Red Bulls could potentially score from a set piece situation.
• Considering the aggressive play style of both teams, the match is likely to be intense and closely fought.
• A possible rotation of the Red Bulls first eleven could introduce an element of unpredictability for DC United.

Match Facts

• When New York Red Bulls host DC United, the most frequent outcome has been a 1-0 victory for the home side, reflected in 7 past instances.
• A 1-0 scoreline in favor of New York Red Bulls has been the most repeated result from the rivalry, occurring 9 times.
• Over 34 past encounters at New York Red Bulls’ home ground, they’ve come out on top 16 times, with the fixtures resulting in 8 ties and 10 wins for DC United. The home side leads the head-to-head goal tally, 42-33.
• In their last 75 head-to-head meetings, New York Red Bulls have come out victorious 29 times, with 20 matches drawing and DC United winning the remaining 26. The Bulls hold a slight edge in the cumulative goal count, 105-101.
• New York Red Bulls managed a clean sweep in the last season, beating DC United 1-0 at home and 5-3 in their away match.
• DC United’s MLS form on the road has been poor recently, suffering 3 consecutive defeats away from home.
• Notably, the New York Red Bulls typically score 26% of their goals in the final 15 minutes of the match.
• DC United, on the other hand, register 31% of their goals in the 31st to 45th minute timeframe.
• The Red Bulls have proven hard to beat at home, staying unbeaten for their last 8 matches.
• DC United have struggled for form recently, with no win in the last eight games.
• DC United are on a three-match losing streak in their away games.
• Also, DC United haven’t won any of their last four matches against New York Red Bulls.
• At their home ground, The Red Bulls have managed to avoid defeat against DC United in their last four meetings.
• Some concerns for New York Red Bulls would be their failure to score in two of their eight home MLS matches this season.
• DC United will also be worried about their lack of goals, having failed to score in four of their nine away MLS games this spell.
• Individual performance-wise, Lewis Morgan is leading the goal tally for New York Red Bulls with 9 strikes, while Christian Benteke has netted 14 times for DC United.
• Dante Vanzeir of New York Red Bulls has been the most creative, providing 5 assists, while Jared Stroud with 6 assists is the key creator for DC United.
• DC United’s defence has been porous of late, with at least one goal conceded in each of their last 14 matches.
• In terms of gaining early match advantages, New York Red Bulls have led at halftime in 31% cases, against the 21% for DC United.
• In their last direct clash, the New York Red Bulls emerged as winners.
• They won by a significant 3-goal margin in their most recent match.
• When leading by a goal at home, New York Red Bulls secure the win in 78% of their matches.
• However, when DC United lead by a goal away, they only manage to win half of those matches.
• If New York Red Bulls trail by a single goal at home, they bounce back to win in 25% occasions.
• DC United, when falling behind by a goal away, recover to win just 8% of the time.
• As far as MLS performances go, New York Red Bulls have had the upper hand over DC United.
• Recent form also favors the Red Bulls who have outperformed DC United over the previous five matches.
• In the last five outings between the two sides spanning across all competitions, New York Red Bulls have remained unbeaten.
• Out of the recent five encounters, New York Red Bulls have won four, DC United failed to win any, with one match ending in a draw.
• Direct encounters in MLS mirror similar results, with New York Red Bulls unbeaten in their last five against DC United.
• DC United on the contrary, are yet to register a win against New York Red Bulls in their last five MLS matches.
• On average, New York Red Bulls net 2.2 goals per match with DC United managing 0.8 against the Red Bulls.
• An average of 3 goals can be expected when these two teams collide.
• The average number of goals in the first half of matches involving these two sides is 1.6.
• Both sides are heading into their next fixture on the back of a loss in the MLS.
• New York Red Bulls boast an average of 1.81 goals in home games, whereas DC United only average 0.96 goals away from home.
• DC United are currently on a three-match losing run in MLS.
• DC United have experienced three straight losses.